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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
prioritise resources for Helmand. Maj Gen Shaw wrote: “We have been hamstrung for
resources throughout the tour, driven by the rising strategic significance of the Afghan
deployment.”54
158.  During a visit to Iraq in October 2007, ACM Stirrup was briefed by Major
General Graham Binns, General Office Commanding MND(SE) from August 2007 to
February 2008, that the ISF might have only limited ability to cope in the event that JAM
resumed combat operations. The JIC and others also identified continued weaknesses
in the ISF. Their “ability and willingness to maintain security in the South remains patchy
and dependent on MNF training, logistic and specialist air support”.55
Deciding the UK role post-PIC
Decisions on the UK’s role in Basra post-PIC were also taken without the opportunity for
Ministerial discussion, despite Mr Brown’s 11 September commitment that Cabinet would
have “a further opportunity to discuss” the UK’s future role in Iraq.
Mr Brown informed the Overseas and Defence Sub-Committee of the NSID of the content
of his statement to Parliament a few hours before making it on 8 October 2007.
As a consequence, Ministers did not have the chance to explore:
precisely what the number of troops proposed would be able to deliver; or
conditions in Basra.
The decision had been discussed with the US, and with some Ministers individually, but no
collective discussion took place before 8 October. We cannot now know what difference
such a discussion might have made.
Although bilateral conversations are a useful and necessary part of preparing for
Committee discussion, they are not an adequate substitute. The effective operation
of a system of collective responsibility is founded on the opportunity for informed and
timely discussion.
The beginning of the end
159.  On 27 February 2008, the JIC assessed security prospects in the South at the
request of the Permanent Joint Headquarters (PJHQ): security in Basra remained
a concern.
160.  In March 2008, Prime Minister Maliki instigated the Charge of the Knights to tackle
militia groups in Basra. That such an important operation came as a surprise was an
indication of the distance between the UK and Iraqi Governments at this point.
54  Letter Shaw to Houghton, 14 August 2007, ‘Post operation report Shawforce Jan-Aug 07’.
55  JIC Assessment, 27 February 2008, ‘Iraq: Security Prospects in the South’.
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