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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
He also described meeting the families of those who died in the conflict as one of the
Inquiry’s first priorities.
469.  Mr Forber advised Mr Hutton’s Private Secretary on the way ahead for the defence
agreement on 31 July.191 In addition to the two options put forward by Mr Wilks, he
identified a third:
“The Government of Iraq and NATO agree that the UK maritime training activity
should in future come under the NATO mission.”
470.  Mr Forber assessed that this option would:
“… not allow for protection of Iraqi oil platforms/territorial waters, it would meet all
our requirements for training of the Iraqi navy including jurisdictional immunities –
the NATO agreement has slightly better immunities than the UK agreement as we
ensured it explicitly included Umm Qasr as a potential location to cover just such
an eventuality.”
471.  On 31 July, Mr McDonald called Prime Minister Maliki’s Chief of Staff to press for
rapid progress on an interim agreement.192 He observed that “UK media was portraying
this as a problem in our bilateral relationship”. Prime Minister Maliki’s Chief of Staff said
that the Iraq Government would “continue to work on trying to find appropriate ways
forward”.
August 2009
472.  On 5 August, the JIC again considered Iranian influence in Iraq, and Iraq’s reaction
to it.193 It judged:
“Iraq can stand up to Iranian political interference and will begin to reject it as
it exercises its sovereignty with increasing confidence. Iraq can also withstand
Iranian military interference through its strategic defence agreement with the US,
improvement of its armed forces and political accommodation with the Shia militants
that Iran supports …
“In the longer term, Iran’s increasing trade and investment are laying the foundations
for ‘soft power’ by establishing dependency in areas where Iraqi and Iranian
interests coincide. The planned withdrawal of large numbers of US forces in 2011
will be a particularly testing time for the Iraqi Government and armed forces …
“Iraqis, even most Shia, consider Iran to be their biggest strategic threat, but many
also see Iranian money and investment as an opportunity for personal gain and
national economic well-being. Friction between the two countries is inevitable, but
191 Minute Forber to PS/Secretary of State [MOD], 31 July 2009, ‘Iraq: UK Defence Agreement’.
192 Email Wilks to [various], 31 July 2009, ‘Iraq: Security Agreement and Hostages: Simon McDonald
call on Tariq Abdallah, Maliki’s CoS’.
193 JIC Assessment, 5 August 2009, ‘Can Iraq Stand Up to Iran?’
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