9.6 |
27 June 2007 to April 2008
667.
The junior
official repeated the risks set out in his 19 November
submission,
concluding
that “It is impossible to predict before the event how these risks
will play in
detail” and
that choosing the best timing for JAM1’s release would mitigate
them to some
extent. On
timing, the official explained that the final detainee releases
were expected
in early to
mid-January, and “depending on developments on the ground, it might
be
tactically
wise to release [JAM1] somewhat earlier, although we would not
expect to do
so before
Basra has achieved Provincial Iraqi Control.”
668.
The following
day, the junior FCO official sent Mr Miliband’s office some
additional
text
supplied by Mr Prentice “as further clarification” of his
submission. It said:
“Whilst
delegating the decision to us is fine, this is not just a sovereign
issue.
As GOC
MND(SE) comes under MNF-I and Petraeus’ command, they would
have
to be
consulted. And we would have to inform the GoI (Maliki) of our
plans as such
a decision
would play into the broader Shia reconciliation
strategy.”307
669.
Mr Day’s
parallel submission to Mr Browne explained that the FCO was
taking
responsibility
for JAM1’s release. The submission reflected advice from theatre
that
delegated
authority was needed because of the speed with which the position
on the
ground was
developing.308
670.
The Private
Secretary to Mr Bob Ainsworth, Minister for the Armed Forces,
to
whom the
submission was copied, wrote on the advice on 11 December that
although
Mr Browne
had already “noted the submission” she had concerns about whether
the
decision
should be delegated because:
“The
implications of his release are strategic and I think the decision
ought to be
taken here,
away from tactical considerations.”309
671.
Mr Ainsworth
replied in relation to the submission: “I think this is wrong and
should
672.
On 9 December,
Mr Brown visited Basra, primarily for the purpose of “a
Christmas
673.
In a briefing
for the visit, a Cabinet Office official told Mr Brown that
the UK had
reached
agreement with the US and Iraqi Governments on the text of the
draft resolution
and
supporting exchange of letters. The resolution would be tabled at
the UN in New
307
Email FCO
Iraq Group [junior official] to various, 8 December 2007,
‘Submission:
[NAME OF
OPERATION].
308
Minute Day
to APS/SofS [MOD], 7 December 2007, ‘[NAME OF
OPERATION]’.
309
Manuscript
comment Pusey on Minute Day to APS/SofS [MOD], 7 December
2007,
‘[NAME OF
OPERATION]’.
310
Manuscript
comment Ainsworth on Minute Day to APS/SofS [MOD], 7 December
2007,
‘[NAME OF
OPERATION]’.
311
Minute
Cabinet Office [junior official] to Brown, [undated], ‘Prime
Minister’s visit to Basra:
9 December 2007’.
305