9.5 |
June 2006 to 27 June 2007
895.
Mr Blair’s
Private Secretary told Mr Blair that the visitors had found
Gen Petraeus
and
Ambassador Crocker:
“… heavily
focused on trying to achieve the ‘benchmarks’ set by Congress,
in
time for
Petraeus’ interim testimony to Congress in July, and final
testimony in
896.
On 12 June,
the Chiefs of Staff noted:
“Some
elements of the GoI’s [Government of Iraq’s] current plans for
Basra Palace
post‑transition
were of concern, including the intent to guard the Palace with
a
dedicated
Palace Guard Force (which had yet to be raised, trained or
equipped).
Notwithstanding
reported calls from within MNF‑I for local publicity, the
intent
remained
for the planned withdrawal from Basra Palace to be conducted in as
low
key a
manner as possible.”490
897.
In his weekly
report on 13 June, Maj Gen Shaw wrote:
“… the fate
of BP [Basra Palace] rests now in the hands of GOI/MNF, and PM
Maliki
has taken a
personal interest in it. Any idea that we might be able to extend
our
presence
needs to appreciate the extent of Iraqi ownership of this issue,
which itself
is a result
of hard selling of the imperative requirement for UK to leave the
Palace
898.
Maj Gen Shaw
also reported on the implications of the coalition’s
existing
reconciliation
effort for relations within MND(SE). He wrote:
“An MNF
obsessed with the Sunni problem sees reconciliation through a
Sunni
prism, the
focus on Sunni tribes vs AQ. For the Shia, I contend that
reconciliation
has to mean
harnessing Iraqi nationalism in support of GoI against the
Iranian
malign
influences. Our presence confuses Shia loyalties; some support GoI
and
hence don’t
attack MNF; some (JAM etc) see MNF as occupiers and attack
us
and hence
are equivocal in their support of GoI; yet both sets would claim to
be
nationalists.
This issue is beginning to be of immediate relevance in Basra with
the
question
raised by JAM of senior public figures regarding their loyalties,
‘are you
a
collaborator or nationalist?’ Convincing Muqtada al‑Sadr to buy in
to the current,
as opposed
to the post‑MNF, political process will be the key to Shia
reconciliation
success,
particularly in tackling the malign influences of the secret cells
and Iran …
Al Sadr is
already courting both Sunni and Shia groupings and calling them to
join
him under a
Nationalist banner. This, however, is at least in part balanced by
Fadhila
and their
cohort’s intention for a Federal Iraqi state. How well we manage to
drive
a wedge
between the nationalists, their current Iranian patrons and the
Iranian
surrogates
will have implications Iraq wide.”
489
Minute
Banner to Blair, 14 June 2007, ‘Iraq Update, 14 June’.
490
Minutes, 12
June 2007, Chiefs of Staff meeting.
491
Minute Shaw
to CJO, 13 June 2007, ‘GOC HQ MND(SE) – Southern Iraq Update – 13
June 2007’.
167