9.5 |
June 2006 to 27 June 2007
would see
Prime Minister Maliki co‑ordinating policy with the three‑person
Presidency,
and a more
effective division of responsibilities at the heart of government.
Mr Asquith
commented
that the UK should seek to encourage former Prime Minister Ayad
Allawi
to support
the deal and to work constructively with Prime Minister
Maliki.
808.
DOP(I) met on
10 May, chaired by Mrs Beckett.439
Four papers
were provided for
the
meeting:
•
Mr Browne’s
letter to Mr Blair of 5 May, setting out his views on
reconciliation.440
•
A minute
from Mrs Beckett to Mr Browne following her attendance at the
Sharm
el‑Sheikh
meeting, containing her views on reconciliation.441
•
Two very
similar papers produced jointly by the FCO and MOD entitled
‘Iraq:
After UNSCR
1723’ and ‘Iraq: MNF‑I Mandate in 2008’ prompted by
the
imminent
review of resolution 1723.442
809.
In her minute,
Mrs Beckett said that the fact that the meetings in Sharm
el‑Sheikh
took place
was proof that headway was being made on
reconciliation.443
But she
warned:
“If Sunni
Arab governments do not help Maliki to make early progress
[on]
reconciliation,
I am convinced that they will get what they most fear – an
avowedly
pro‑Iranian
(ie SCIRI) government in Baghdad.”
810.
In private,
she reported that the other participants in the conference had
been
downbeat:
“While none
disputed the central importance of reconciliation, they were
negative
in their
assessment of the Government of Iraq’s ability to deliver and
guarded about
their own
willingness to help.”
811.
The FCO and
MOD papers, which considered the mandate for coalition
forces
in Iraq,
both recommended that the UK should press for a further resolution
to extend
authorisation
for the MNF to be present in Iraq, to continue to intern
individuals for
security
reasons and to take “all
necessary measures” to
implement their mandate.444
812.
The MOD and
FCO judged that, despite the fact the Prime Minister Maliki
was
under
pressure to demonstrate Iraqi sovereignty, he would want coalition
troops
to remain
into 2008 because of the Sunni insurgency and levels of ISF
capability.
Challenges
in achieving Security Council agreement were likely to come from
the French
and
Russians, both of whom had called for a clear timetable for
withdrawal.
439
Minutes, 10
May 2007, DOP(I) meeting.
440
Letter
Browne to Blair, 5 May 2007, ‘Iraq: Reconciliation’.
441
Minute
Beckett to Secretary of State for Defence, 8 May 2007, ‘Iraq:
Reconciliation’.
442
Paper Iraq
Policy Unit FCO and Joint Commitments MOD, 3 May 2007, ‘Iraq: After
UNSCR 1723’;
Paper FCO
and MOD, 3 May 2007, ‘Iraq: MNF‑I Mandate in 2008: UK
Non‑Paper’.
443
Minute
Beckett to Secretary of State for Defence, 8 May 2007, ‘Iraq:
Reconciliation’.
444
Paper Iraq
Policy Unit FCO and Joint Commitments MOD, 3 May 2007, ‘Iraq: After
UNSCR 1723’;
Paper FCO
and MOD, 3 May 2007, ‘Iraq: MNF‑I Mandate in 2008: UK
Non‑Paper’.
151