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9.5  |  June 2006 to 27 June 2007
268.  In addition, Mr Blair argued that a “whole Middle East” strategy was needed which
would frame the debate on Iraq in terms of the whole region and expose the hostile
intent of Iran. Mr Blair wrote:
“The huge benefit in Iraq, of such a strategy, is that it gives us more than what
is happening day to day in Iraq to talk about. That is our problem: it is all events,
ghastly and bloody, unconnected to the underlying strategic cause.”
269.  President Bush and Mr Blair spoke by video conference the next day joined by
Vice President Dick Cheney, Mr Hadley, Mr Jonathan Powell and Sir Nigel Sheinwald.155
270.  Mr Blair set out his view that the UK and US should focus on supporting Prime
Minister Maliki to achieve a national political compact, accelerate assistance to the
ISF, improve the Iraqi Government’s ability to “deliver resources” and bring regional
assistance to bear more effectively.
271.  Mr Blair suggested that Prime Minister Maliki should set out his political and
security plans in a way that demonstrated he was in the lead, ideally before the Iraq
Study Group reported, and in such a way that allowed the US and UK to respond
positively.
272.  On 13 November, Mr Blair discussed Iraq with ACM Stirrup, Sir Nigel Sheinwald,
Mr McDonald, C, Ms Aldred and officials from No.10.156
273.  Mr Blair told those present that “the major challenge was ensuring that Maliki had
an effective government apparatus around him, underpinned by capable security forces”.
274.  ACM Stirrup said that “the US had given a lot of thought to the latter point” and had
“a coherent plan” to train the ISF.
275.  Mr Blair commissioned Sir Nigel Sheinwald to co‑ordinate a plan, drawing on
departmental expertise, which would “set out the detail underpinning the Prime Minister’s
four point strategy for Iraq, together with a clear sense of who would be responsible for
operationalising each element”. Mr Blair recognised that it would need Iraqi, US and
wider international support.
276.  That evening, Mr Blair spoke at the annual Lord Mayor’s banquet in London’s
Guildhall.157 He described the growing pressure from terrorism in Iraq and said:
“Just as the situation is evolving, so our strategy should evolve to meet it.
“Inside Iraq we should empower the Iraqi leadership that wants to take responsibility
– that knows that they, not us, must lead and win the fight against terrorism.
155  Letter Banner to Hayes, 10 November 2006, ‘Prime Minister’s VTC with President Bush, 10 November:
Middle East’.
156  Letter Banner to Siddiq, 14 November 2006, ‘Iraq’.
157  Prime Minister’s Guildhall speech, 13 November 2006.
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