The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
422.
Mr Asquith
suggested:
“Sistani –
don’t promote UIC alone; caution about large federal region in
south;
Constitutional
Commission – must be taken seriously (45 percent Shia did not
vote)
“MAS –
Iran: no friend of yours.”
423.
As
commissioned by the ISOG, the IPU provided a paper on Sunni
outreach, for
the 15
November meeting of DOP(I).196
424.
The IPU said
that the British Embassy Baghdad had intensified its focus
on
Sunni Arab
politicians, including those who were believed to have some
influence with
the
insurgency. Plans were in hand for Sir Nigel Sheinwald to meet a
combination of
harder‑line
Sunni nationalist leaders and local insurgent leaders later in the
month.
425.
Sunni Arab
demands remained the same: less robust US military
practices,
detainee
releases and an amnesty; the appointment of Sunni Arabs to the
Iraqi Security
Forces; a
more level electoral playing field; and a timetable for
transition.
426.
The IPU
reported some progress, both on detainee releases and with
the
announcement
by Iraqi Defence Minister Mr Saadoun al-Dulaimi that all former
army
personnel,
up to and including the rank of Major, were invited to re-apply to
join the ISF.
The IPU
commented that the latter was “a start, but not what former
Generals in the
insurgency
will settle for”. The IPU judged that more work was needed to
encourage
Iraqi
politicians to repeal the de-Ba’athification law and abolish the
de-Ba’athification
Commission.
427.
The IPU
commented that it was clear that the US Administration was prepared
to
countenance
a broad swathe of US and UK outreach activity, but on the condition
that
the US
should be “careful not to ‘pick winners’”.
428.
A Cabinet
Office official provided Mr Blair with a Chairman’s brief for
the meeting
“We
have made
progress since your last meeting … We now
have the basic tools
… to run an
outreach strategy … But, your conversation
with Khalilzad showed
we don’t yet
have an agreed US/UK operational plan – we need to
fix this.”
429.
At the meeting
Mr Straw summarised his impressions from his recent
discussions
with Sunni
leaders in Iraq.198
He felt
that the Sunnis now understood that boycotting the
elections
had been a mistake, and wanted to enter the political process. In
discussion
it was
observed that Sunnis were starting to realise that the coalition
were “the best
available
guarantors of their interests”.
196
Paper IPU,
10 November 2005, ‘Sunni Arab Outreach: Update as of 10 November
2005’.
197
Minute
Cabinet Office [junior official] to Blair, 14 November 2005,
‘DOP(I) – Chairman’s Brief’.
198
Minutes, 15
November 2005, DOP(I) meeting.
560