9.2 | 23
May 2003 to June 2004
922.
In a more
detailed telegram on managing the political transition,
Mr Asquith
wrote that:
“The
formation of the IGC last year was unprecedented in its creation of
a political
body that
fairly accurately reflected Iraq’s diverse society. But its
creation instituted
a specific
balance of ethnic and sectarian representation in Iraq’s
political
structures
and empowered a specific set of players, many of whom were
exiles.
Inevitably,
many others were excluded. That these leaders were anointed
by
the Occupying
Powers had always remained a cause for criticism by
political
actors outside
the IGC.
“This
feeling of popular resentment … was one of Brahimi’s concerns
during his
recent
visit. A key principle underlying his plan for the formation of an
interim
government
is the depoliticisation of government through the formation of
an
apolitical
cabinet of technocratic ministers, headed by a Prime Minister, and
a
Presidency
Council of a President and two Deputy Presidents.”510
923.
The process by
which the interim government would be formed remained
unclear,
but
Mr Asquith observed that:
“Whichever
option is chosen the difficulty will be managing the
competing
aspirations
of the dominant political players …
“Ultimately,
the one political force we have to placate is [Grand Ayatollah al-]
Sistani.”
924.
In a separate
telegram on Shia leadership in Iraq, Mr Asquith judged
that:
“… the
leading Shia members of the IGC have developed ties with Sistani,
and
will try to
exploit this relationship to ensure their own political ascendency.
The
Ayatollah’s
view of the IGC parties is less clear, and he may be persuadable
that a
technocratic
government is preferable for the interim period.”511
925.
Mr Asquith
sent a parallel telegram on the Sunni political
picture.512
In it he
warned:
“Continued
failure to address Sunni grievances threatens the long-term
stability in
Iraq.
Fallujah has provoked a reassessment by those in the CPA who
believed Sunni
dissatisfaction
was manageable. Leaving the community insecure about its
future
risks
perpetuating an environment that breeds continued anti-Coalition
and later
anti-Iraqi
government activity.”
510
Telegram
189 IraqRep to FCO London, 22 April 2004, ‘Iraq: Managing the
Political Transition – and the
Actors;
Parts 1 and 2’.
511
Telegram
187 IraqRep to FCO London, 22 April 2004, ‘Iraq: Shia Leadership in
the New Iraq’.
512
Telegram
181 IraqRep to FCO London, 21 April 2004, ‘Iraq: Sunni
Politics’.
357