The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
An MOD
report setting out lessons for the future from Op TELIC, published
in December
2003,
described force levels in MND(SE) on 17 November.311
On that
date, the UK
force level
in MND(SE) was 10,500, and contributions from other nations
totalled 5,650
personnel.
The numbers provided by each nation were:
•
Czech
Republic
100
•
Denmark
480
•
Italy
2,800
•
Lithuania
30
•
Netherlands
1,100
•
New
Zealand
100
•
Norway
160
•
Portugal
130
•
Romania
750
UK force
levels between 2003 and 2009 are set out at the end of Section
9.7.
557.
In late 2003,
the US Joint Chiefs of Staff made an informal request for the UK
to
consider
deploying the HQ ARRC to Afghanistan in summer
2004.312
At the
time, the
FCO’s
advice to Mr Straw was that the MOD did “not believe that it
would be sensible to
deploy the
ARRC to Afghanistan under current levels of operational deployment,
since
they judge
that it would need to deploy for a year, and with around 2,500
additional
troops, to
have the desired strategic effect”.
558.
The initial
view of the FCO’s Afghanistan Unit was that this underplayed
the
potential
strategic value of the ARRC in Afghanistan. In relation to a
deployment to Iraq,
the Unit
judged it:
“… unlikely
… that NATO would be willing to take on the overall command role.
Nor
is it clear
that the US would be prepared to put their forces under UK
command.
Conversely,
there is a risk, were the ARRC to deploy at the head of a
multi-national
operation,
that the US would not retain enough forces in theatre to make sure
that
the
security situation could be properly handled … The political risk
to the UK of a
British HQ
taking overall command of military operations would also be high,
and our
chance of
success will be no better (or worse) than the Americans. We are
unlikely
to want to
be put in such an exposed position for another two
years.”
559.
Mr Edward
Oakden, FCO Director International Security, commented
on
20 November that he agreed with the Afghanistan Unit’s initial
advice, and
311
Ministry of
Defence, Operation
in Iraq: Lessons for the Future, December
2003, pages 84-85.
312
Minute
Thompson to Ehrman and Private Secretary [FCO], 20 November 2003,
‘Possible Deployment
of the ARRC
to Afghanistan/Iraq’.
298