10.2 |
Reconstruction: July 2004 to July 2009
turning
around something that had been in place for so long and there was
so much
nervousness
about it.
“What that
did was started a discussion which was the default can’t
necessarily
remain
…
“So by the
time I left in October [2008], decisions on moves to the Palace
could be
made by the
head of DFID Baghdad. They didn’t have to go back through a
lengthy
chain in
London. Decisions on some other road moves would still go through
my
boss back
in London, but gradually that got moved more and more to
theatre,
became much
more like the Baghdad experience of Red Zone
moves.” 562
960.
The 2 June
meeting of the ISG focused on economic development.563
Ms
Aldred
said that
“economic deliverables” would form a core part of the narrative
that Mr Browne
had asked
for following his visit to Basra, and asked DFID to lead on
compiling it.
Mr McDonald
said that Mr Brown would want to announce economic progress –
or, at
the very
least, a Basra economic plan – in his planned Parliamentary
statement in July.
961.
Ms Hendrie
reported that Dr al-Safi was making little progress in spending
the
Iraqi
Government’s reconstruction funds for Basra and that, despite UK
lobbying, he
remained
reluctant to use established structures. The Basra Support Office
in Baghdad
would
become operational on 7 June. UKTI had expressed interest in
appointing a First
Secretary
(Commercial) to Baghdad, but was reluctant to fund or staff the
post.
962.
A 9 June
Current Intelligence Group (CIG) Assessment of Basra’s
economy,
commissioned
by DFID, judged that the Charge of the Knights had secured “a
window
of
opportunity to create the conditions for economic growth” but that
reconstruction and
development
would continue to be constrained by:
•
the absence
of any systemic approach to project and financial
management
within the
Iraqi Government;
•
competing
political agendas, which meant that reconstruction was subject
to
“political
manoeuvring”;
•
corruption,
which would remain endemic under the present Government or
any
likely
successor;
•
the
uncertain legislative environment, which continued to hold
investors back.
International
oil companies were in negotiation with the Ministry of Oil but
they
were
unlikely to make long-term investments until a Hydrocarbons Law
had
been
adopted;
•
security,
which remained fragile;
•
crime and
smuggling; and
562
Public
hearing, 24 June 2010, pages 66 and 67.
563
Minute
Cabinet Office [junior official] to McDonald, 2 June 2008, ‘Iraq
Strategy Group, 2 June’.
351