The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
511.
Before the
joint minute from Mr Straw and Mr Hoon reached No.10,
Mr Drummond
advised
Mr Rycroft that “we need Ministers to decide on
sectors”.326
He
suggested that
they would
want to agree the proposals in the joint minute:
“… provided
they are satisfied that:
•
UK forces
will be capable of providing security for an area around
Basra
including
about 20 percent of Iraq’s population.
•
How long we
will have this responsibility, and what is the exit strategy
(benign
security
environment created, UK forces replaced by others). Will we be
able
to limit
‘our area’ to say Basra by the autumn, when we want to withdraw
two
thirds of
our troops?”
512.
After the
Ministerial meeting on post-conflict issues on 21 March,
Mr Rycroft
informed
the FCO and MOD that Mr Blair agreed to the recommendations
made by
Mr Straw
and Mr Hoon, subject to further urgent advice on the size of
any UK sector,
the duration
of the UK commitment and the exit strategy.327
513.
Treasury
officials advised Mr Brown that the minute from Mr Straw
to
Mr Hoon
raised a number of issues, including that Treasury and MOD
views
differed on
the wisdom of the UK taking on command of a sector in Iraq
without
“the
necessary guarantees”.
514.
Mr John
Dodds, Head of the Defence, Diplomacy and Intelligence Team in
the
Treasury,
sent advice on the Straw/Hoon joint minute to Mr Brown on 24
March.328
515.
Mr Dodds
told Mr Brown that US military planning appeared:
“… to have
four ‘two-star commands (ie divisions)’ outside of Baghdad,
focusing
more
flexibly on the tasks that need to be done, rather than being tied
down to
specific
narrow locations.
“The MOD
ambition is to have a UK-led ‘two-star [Maj Gen]
command.’
516.
Mr Dodds
warned that the UK should not be too ready to take on a
two-star
command in
the aftermath without “the necessary guarantees”. The military
would
“baulk” at
this: “a ‘two-star command’ would provide a seat at the top table
in the
aftermath”,
but it carried the risk of costs “we cannot afford both militarily
and financially”.
517.
The FCO
advised that it would not be possible to decide on the size of
a
UK military
sector before establishing the nature of the task and the scale of
the
Coalition
resources available.
326
Minute
Drummond to Rycroft, 19 March 2003, ‘Iraq Ministerial
Meeting’.
327
Minute
Rycroft to McDonald and Watkins, 21 March 2003, ‘Iraq: UK Military
Contribution to
Post‑Conflict
Iraq’.
328
Minute
Dodds to Chancellor, 24 March 2003, ‘Iraq: UK Military Contribution
to Post-Conflict Iraq’.
92