The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
806.
The FCO and
MOD argued for “a long-term UK commitment in Iraq”, which
would
include
influencing the Iraqi Government and supporting the long-term
development of
its
capacity, in particular through the provision of advice to
ministries in Baghdad.
807.
The 19 July
meeting of NSID(OD) was cancelled and not
reinstated.463
808.
On 11 July, a
DFID official sent Mr Simon McDonald, Mr Brown’s Foreign
Policy
Adviser, a
draft letter for Mr Brown to send to Prime Minister
Maliki.464
809.
The draft
letter reflected guidance from Mr Alexander that the UK should
be
realistic
about the role of economic reform and only propose initiatives that
had a good
chance of
being realised.465
810.
Mr McDonald
passed the draft letter to Mr Brown on 27 July, after
consulting the
FCO and the
British Embassy Baghdad.466
Mr McDonald
commented that the approach
set out in
the draft letter was:
“… sensible
and realistic but not particularly ambitious … But the Embassy
argue
that,
taking into account the security situation and the lack of
political will … this is
as much
as we would be able to get Maliki to consider.”
811.
Mr Brown
wrote to Prime Minister Maliki on 29 July.467
While
establishing security
remained
the “abiding priority”, it was vital that people were given a stake
in their future.
Mr Brown
suggested that the UK could help the Iraqi Government
to:
•
secure a
new IMF Stand By Arrangement by the end of 2007;
•
develop an
integrated energy strategy, alongside the World Bank;
•
reform the
banking sector, also alongside the World Bank;
•
strengthen
financial management, by continuing to fund an economic
reform
team;
and
•
establish
the BIPA to identify and promote investment opportunities
throughout
the
province. The UK had allocated funds to help establish the Agency.
If
successful,
it could be replicated in other Provinces and inform the creation
of a
National
Investment Commission.
812.
Mr Brown
told the Inquiry:
“… if you
can show people that their economic prosperity is possible, then
the risks
of
returning to violence are seen by people to be too great to put at
risk something
that they
were now about to enjoy. So I wanted to show in Basra … that the
chance
463
Minute
Cabinet Office to NSID(OD) members, 11 February 2010 [sic],
‘Ministerial Meeting on Iraq,
Cancellation
Note’.
464
Letter DFID
[junior official] to McDonald, 11 July 2007, ‘Iraq: Prime
Minister’s Economic Initiative’.
465
Minute DFID
[junior official] to PS [Alexander], 11 July 2007, ‘Iraq: ‘Economic
Initiative’ – Prime
Minister’s
Letter to Prime Minster Maliki’.
466
Minute
McDonald to Prime Minister, 27 July 2007, ‘Iraq: Economic
Initiative’.
467
Letter
Brown to Maliki, 29 July 2007, [untitled].
326