6.4 |
Planning and preparation for a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq, mid-2001
to January 2003
660.
In addition,
DFID was working on the paper on potential humanitarian
implications
of conflict
in Iraq, and British Trade International (BTI) was identifying
priority sectors in
Iraq for
British companies.
661.
The grid also
listed departments responsible for different aspects of
domestic
contingency
planning, including community relations, refugee and asylum
issues,
the terrorist
threat, and the economic consequences of conflict.
662.
That work was
later consolidated in a single paper produced by the CCS
on
27
November, described later in this Section.
663.
The FCO
paper ‘International Administration for Iraq: what, who and
how?’
examined
possible models for a UN role in the administration of
Iraq.
664.
The FCO
concluded that a UN transitional administration working
alongside
an
international security force would work, but planning needed to
start as soon
as
possible.
665.
Mr Gray sent
the draft of a 12th FCO paper to the AHGI on 18
October.331
‘International
Administration for Iraq: what, who and how?’ appears to have
been
produced in
response to the recommendation in the FCO paper on models
for
administering
a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq that work begin on examining a possible
UN
role in
more detail. It drew on recent UN experience in Afghanistan,
Cambodia, East
Timor and
Kosovo to distinguish between two approaches to international
administration:
•
a “light”
approach, monitoring a local administration’s decisions
against
principles
set out in a mandate provided by the Security Council;
and
•
a more
intrusive international administration implementing the mandate
directly.
If the
Iraqi regime fought to the end or the damage to Iraq was extensive,
the
international
administration would need to assume control of key areas. If
Saddam
Hussein
were overthrown quickly or “the bulk of Ba’ath apparatchiks
switched sides”,
the lighter
approach might be manageable.
666.
In both cases,
key elements of the Security Council mandate would
include:
•
reconstruction
of war damage and delivery of humanitarian assistance;
•
internal
and external security;
•
stopping
Iraq’s WMD programmes;
•
ensuring
respect for Iraq’s territorial integrity;
331
Letter Gray
to Drummond, 18 October 2002, ‘Papers for the AHGI’ attaching Paper
[unattributed],
17 October
2002, ‘International Administration for Iraq: what, who and
how?’
225