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6.3  |  Military equipment (pre-conflict)
653.  However, the most senior military officers and officials understood the
political and diplomatic reasons for that decision and Ministers were not advised
that the restrictions would have a direct adverse impact on capabilities.
654.  The problems encountered by the forces deployed to Iraq in early 2003 do
not appear to have been directly attributable to the absence of discussions with
industry before 15 October.
655.  The evidence suggests that most of the difficulties arose from the decisions
to deploy a force more quickly than the Defence Planning Assumptions (DPAs)
envisaged.
656.  The 1998 Strategic Defence Review (SDR) and Defence Strategic Plan had set
clear guidelines about the military resources required for potential operations of
different scale and duration. The DPAs also set out the time likely to be necessary
to adequately prepare UK forces for operations, including the time needed to
procure and deploy equipment and train personnel on its use.
657.  The DPAs determined the equipment procured for the Armed Forces and
that the stocks held should be sufficient only to meet the readiness requirements
specified in the DPAs.
658.  The 1998 SDR had also concluded that the UK needed a better expeditionary
capability to reflect the nature of future threats and the environments, such as the
Gulf, in which the UK should plan to operate.
659.  By 2002, when military planning for potential operations in Iraq commenced,
that capability had not been fully achieved.
660.  The policy underpinning the DPAs of relying on sufficient preparation time
to procure UORs and additional stocks to meet identified shortfalls before a large
scale deployment was explicitly acknowledged by the MOD in spring 2002.
661.  In the second half of 2002, however, the MOD was already supporting two
simultaneous medium scale operations, in the Balkans and Operation FRESCO,
and a number of small scale operations, including in Afghanistan. The Armed
Forces were thus already stretched to the maximum level envisaged under
the DPAs, beyond which time would be needed to acquire additional stocks
and equipment.
662.  The decisions between mid-December 2002 and mid-January 2003, to
increase the force deployed for ground operations to three combat brigades
and the decisions to commit 16 Air Assault Brigade and 7 Armoured Brigade to
military operations in southern Iraq in late March, had a significant impact on the
scale of some UORs and compressed the time available for the provision and
delivery of equipment to front line units.
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