The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
120.
Lt Gen
Pigott briefed Adm Boyce on 17 July that his view was
that the UK should
encourage
thinking to move towards action in 2003 to 2004 rather than in 2002
to 2003,
which “had
a better chance of success” given the challenges “including
political red
cards”.57
That was:
“Not a recipe for delay, indeed quite the reverse.” It would be
difficult
for the UK
to send land forces to participate in a “running start” but the UK
thinking was
“taking us
towards a ‘distinctive’ (Package 3) role”. For any significant
contribution, force
preparation
would need to start “now”.
121.
The advice
from Lt Gen Pigott and the SPG was discussed in a restricted
Chiefs
of Staff
meeting on 17 July.58
122.
In
preparation
for a meeting to be held on 18 July, Mr Bowen outlined
the MOD’s
thinking in
a minute to Mr Hoon on 17 July.59
He drew
attention to the US concepts of
“running”
and “generated” starts. He advised that the indications were that
the US favoured
the
“running start” option (which could see US operations beginning
during 2002).
123.
Mr Bowen
suggested that:
“In the
meantime, as we begin to explore possible UK contributions we
need
to identify
what preparation – such as procurement for urgent
operational
requirements
– could
usefully begin now … ”
124.
In
mid-July, a Cabinet Office paper invited Ministers to “note” the
potentially
long lead
times for equipping UK forces to undertake operations in Iraq
and
sought
agreement that the MOD could bring forward proposals for
procurement
of equipment.
125.
Although it
was agreed that the UK should proceed on the assumption
that
the UK
would participate in any military action, there was no decision on
whether
funds could
be spent on preparations.
126.
The Cabinet
Office paper ‘Iraq: Conditions for Military Action’ was issued
on
19 July
to those attending a meeting to be chaired by Mr Blair on
23 July.60
That
meeting
is
addressed in Section 3.3.
127.
Ministers were
invited to “note the potentially long lead times involved in
equipping
UK Armed
Forces to undertake operations in the Iraqi theatre”; and to “agree
that MOD
should
bring forward proposals for the procurement of Urgent Operational
Requirements
under cover
of the lessons learned from Afghanistan” and the “outcome” of the
2002
Spending
Review.
57
Minute
DCDS(C) to DPSO/CDS, 17 July 2002, ‘Iraq: Summary of Key
Issues’.
58
Minutes,
17 July 2002, Chiefs of Staff (Restricted)
meeting.
59
Minute DG
Op Pol to PS/Secretary of State [MOD], 17 July 2002,
‘Iraq’.
60
Paper
Cabinet Office, 19 July 2002, ‘Iraq: Conditions for Military
Action’.
20