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6.2  |  Military planning for the invasion, January to March 2003
regarded as absolutely essential. There was a risk that Saddam wasn’t going to
disarm. There was a risk that we were not going to get the broad Coalition that we
wanted, and I … felt at that stage it was quite important to consider all the issues,
including the cost of not proceeding with the Americans.”89
260.  Sir Kevin stated that he was “reconstructing events on the basis of personal
recollection”.90 He had:
“… recorded my concerns and the message was very clear: we need to work
harder at making sure our conditions are fully understood and taken up by the
US Administration.”
261.  Sir Kevin Tebbit told the Inquiry in February 2010 that he thought Ministers had
had a discussion about the issues, but he was “not sure about the detail”.91
262.  Asked whether he had seen a point at which the Government at the most senior
decision-making levels had fully reviewed and thrashed out the whole range of its
options, Sir Kevin Tebbit replied that he “never saw that process taking place” and that
he was not “party to those discussions in No.10”.92
263.  Sir Kevin added that, in the second half of January, he had sensed “that was
the point when Ministers were coming to major decision point”, and “it was also the
point where Hoon was recommending the southern option to Government”. His
“understanding was that there was a pretty full discussion”.93
264.  In May 2010, Sir Kevin Tebbit told the Inquiry:
“Over Christmas I recall being concerned that … suddenly we were looking at
a different option, the South, which we hadn’t been planning for.
“… I was very concerned before things went further it would be very good for
Ministers to sit down and really discuss this fully … I wrote my concerns to
Geoff Hoon in a private note, manuscript … advising him that I really thought he
ought to talk to his colleagues … and look at it in the round again and pause. I
was very concerned that the machine seemed to be moving, and I don’t just mean
the military machine. I just mean the process seemed to be going on without a full
Ministerial discussion.
“Geoff Hoon said to me … I understand, I think that’s very important. He said, I just
want a note from you on one aspect, and that is the US/UK relationship and the
implications of not proceeding, how important is this to us in bilateral terms. So
I wrote him a note purely on that issue, as a sort of aide memoire, for one part
89  Private hearing, 6 May 2010, pages 11-12.
90  Private hearing, 6 May 2010, page 12.
91  Public hearing, 3 February 2010, page 25.
92  Public hearing, 3 February 2010, page 37.
93  Public hearing, 3 February 2010, pages 38-39.
423
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