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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
Brigade by mid-March”. That would be followed by a period of Force Integration Training
– preparation and rehearsal alongside US forces – before they would be properly
prepared to conduct operations.
209.  Mr Hoon stated that the force package was “broadly what the media already
expect”, but the “high visibility of the measures involved” would “require a reasonably
candid explanation”. He set out the advantages of the “earliest possible announcement”.
210.  Mr Hoon recommended that the UK should “inform the US that we agree that
planning should assume the contribution of the proposed UK land force package to carry
out the role the US has requested, subject to:
(i) the overall caveat that a further political decision would be required to commit
UK forces to any specific operation
(ii) US assistance in facilitating the bed-down of UK forces, and provision of logistic
support
(iii) further work to develop a satisfactory plan for the aftermath.”
211.  Copies of the letter were sent to Mr Brown, Mr Straw and Sir Andrew Turnbull.
212.  The UK’s assessment of Iraq’s conventional military capability and decisions on
targeting are addressed later in this Section.
213.  The risks taken on procurement of equipment and its deployment to the front line
are addressed in Section 6.3.
214.  The absence of advice on what might constitute a satisfactory plan for the
aftermath or on the risks associated with deploying UK forces before decisions had been
made on the scope or duration of their post-conflict role is addressed in Section 6.5.
215.  On 17 January, Mr Blair agreed the deployment of large scale UK ground
forces, comprising the HQ 1 (UK) Div and three combat brigades.
216.  Commenting on Mr Hoon’s letter to Mr Blair, Sir David Manning wrote:
“As briefed to you yesterday …
“Are you content with the recommendations …?
“These seem right, subject to your views on an announcement on Monday
20 January. This is bound to have significant impact. In any event, I assume you will
want to see a draft.”68
217.  On 16 January, Mr Straw raised his concerns that the momentum in Washington
was to do something soon after the report from Dr Hans Blix, Executive Chairman of
68  Manuscript comment Manning, 16 January 2003, on Letter Hoon to Blair, 16 January 2003,
‘Iraq: UK Land Contribution’.
416
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