The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
354.
Mr Scarlett
also provided briefings for Mr Donald Anderson and
Mr Bruce George,
respectively
the Chairmen of the House of Commons Foreign Affairs and
Defence
Committees.135
Mr Scarlett
reported that Mr Anderson had found the imagery used
by
Secretary
Powell “especially ‘compelling’”.
355.
The report of
the briefing on 6 February for Mr George stated that the text
had
been agreed
with the intelligence Agencies.136
Mr George
had shown most interest in
Iraq’s
policy of concealment and had also asked about its links with Al
Qaida. Mr Scarlett
also
reported that Mr George was: “… clear that the evidence on WMD
holdings and
concealment
was ‘sufficiently compelling’ to justify ‘military
operations’.”
356.
The brief
prepared for the Cabinet members drew on the document produced
for
briefing
the Chairmen of the Select Committees.137
357.
The brief for
Cabinet members provided substantial additional material
on:
•
Iraq’s
programmes before the 1990-1991 Gulf Conflict;
•
the current
assessment of Iraq’s capabilities – including its missile
capabilities;
•
difficulties
with securing interviews;
•
scenarios
for CBW use;
•
the risk of
terrorism in the event of military action against
Iraq.
358.
Drawing on the
detailed information published in the 24 September dossier,
the
brief
stated that before the 1990-1991 Gulf Conflict, Iraq:
•
had
“declared to the UN the production of:
{{2,850
tonnes of mustard gas, 210 tonnes of tabun, 795 tonnes of sarin
and
cyclosarin,
and 3.9 tonnes of VX
{{19,000
litres of botulinum toxin, 8,500 litres of anthrax, 2,200
litres
of aflatoxin”;
•
“was aiming
to produce a nuclear warhead with a yield of 20 kilotons”;
and
•
“had a well
developed ballistic missile industry, producing missiles with
ranges
up to
650km”.
•
UNSCOM and
the IAEA had “destroyed much of the pre-1991
programmes”.
•
There were
intelligence indications that “planning to reconstitute some of
its
programmes
began in 1995”.
135
Minute
Scarlett to Manning, 7 February 2003, [untitled].
136
Minute
Scarlett to Manning, 6 February 2003, ‘Briefing of Bruce George MP,
Chairman of the Select
Committee
on Defence’.
137
Minute
Scarlett to Powell, 18 June 2003, ‘Iraq/FAC: Robin Cook’ attaching
Paper, [undated],
‘Iraq –
Brief for the Cabinet’.
356