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4.2  |  Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002
856.  Asked whether his statement that the WMD programme was growing applied
to Iraq’s nuclear programme, Mr Blair replied:
“… what was set out in the dossier, and set out in very detailed form, incidentally,
were all the different items that he had been trying to procure, which could indicate
a continuing interest in nuclear weapons.”450
857.  Asked whether it would have taken quite a long time to get from that point to
having a usable nuclear weapon, Mr Blair told the Inquiry:
“… if you ask people about the nuclear weapons capability, for example, in respect
of Iraq, some people would say, ‘Yes, if they are doing it on their own, it is going
to take significant amount of time, but you can foreshorten that time if you buy in
the material’.
“So one of the reasons – and I emphasise again this whole proliferation issue and
AQ Khan in particular – was that it always worried me that any of these countries,
if they were so minded, could step up very quickly and get …”451
The Butler Review conclusions on the JIC authorship of the dossier
858.  In its report, the Butler Review stated:
“We conclude that it was a serious weakness that the JIC’s warnings on
the limitation of the intelligence underlying its judgements were not made
sufficiently clear in the dossier.
“We understand why the Government felt it had to meet the mounting
public and Parliamentary demand for information. We also recognise that
there is a real dilemma between giving the public an authoritative account
of the intelligence picture and protecting the objectivity of the JIC from the
pressures imposed by providing information for public debate. It is difficult
to resolve these requirements. We conclude with the benefit of hindsight,
that making public that the JIC had authorship of the dossier was a mistaken
judgement, though we do not criticise the JIC for taking responsibility for
clearance of the intelligence content of the document. However, in the
particular circumstances, the publication of such a document in the name and
with the authority of the JIC had the result that more weight was placed on the
intelligence than it could bear.”452
450  Public hearing, 2 February 2010, page 88.
451  Public hearing, 2 February 2010, pages 88-89.
452  Review of Intelligence on Weapons of Mass Destruction [“The Butler Report”], 14 July 2004, HC 898,
paragraphs 465-466.
279
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