The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
786.
Addressing
developments since 1998, the briefing stated that, “Despite
tight
controls on
imports”, Iraq continued “to pursue ballistic missile, nuclear,
chemical and
biological
programmes”.
787.
The detailed
text was more nuanced, stating:
•
“We believe
that Iraq has recently accelerated its weapons
programme.”
•
There had
been “continued progress” on the ballistic missile programme,
and
facilities
damaged in December 1998 had been repaired.
•
Saddam
Hussein was believed to be “planning to extend the range of his
current
missiles
beyond the 150km limit imposed by the UN”.
•
There was
concern about “reports of increased nuclear
procurement”.
•
“We think
that R&D on a nuclear weapons programme has
restarted.”
•
“We believe
that the Iraqi regime continues its biological and chemical
weapons
programmes.”
788.
The briefing
acknowledged that UN measures had:
“… played a
vital role in frustrating Saddam’s ambitions to develop WMD.
UNSCOM
and IAEA
inspectors … And UN controls on Iraq imports have made it more
difficult
for Iraq to
acquire easily the WMD technology it is seeking.”
789.
Sanctions had
“helped make Iraqi acquisition of WMD and the means to
deliver
them more
difficult” and had “undoubtedly slowed the pace of their
reconstitution”. But
there were
“always those who are willing to breach sanctions” and “Some
equipment”
had
“reached Iraq’s WMD programmes”.
790.
Mr Blair
was also sent a copy of the Question and Answer briefing to
accompany
the
dossier.430
Key points
of interest included:
•
“The
dossier shows that Saddam has aggressively pursued his
WMD
programme.
In the four years since the departure of the inspectors things
have
got worse,
not better. It would be irresponsible to ignore those
facts.”
•
Iraq
possessed WMD: it was “still hiding weapons of mass destruction in
a range
of
locations” and it had “admitted producing large quantities of
chemical warfare
agents”.
•
There was
“reliable intelligence” on mobile production facilities for
biological
warfare
agents which supported “older reporting from
defectors”.
•
There was
“intelligence relating to continued production” of CBW
agents.
430
Minute
Rycroft to Prime Minister, 20 September 2002, ‘Iraq: Tuesday’s
Debate’ attaching
Paper
Press
Office, 20 September 2002, ‘Iraq Weapons of Mass Destruction: The
Assessment of the British
Government
– Q&A’.
266