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4.2  |  Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002
144.  Mr Campbell added that announcing the publication of the dossier would “raise
expectations massively. Today was about beginning to turn the tide of public opinion and
it was going to be very tough indeed.”
145.  The Inquiry asked Mr Blair for a statement addressing whether, before his press
conference in Sedgefield, he had refreshed his memory in relation to the 15 March 2002
JIC Assessment, ‘The Status of Iraqi WMD Programmes’.60
146.  In his statement, Mr Blair wrote:
“The basis for the statements I made on the issue of Saddam and WMD were
based, of course, on the JIC Assessments and on the whole history of Saddam
and WMD going back over many years, including his use of chemical weapons, the
findings of previous UN inspectors, his well documented attempts at concealment.
“… [F]or my press conference at Sedgefield … I requested and received a special
briefing from the FCO. I would probably also have re-read the JIC report of
15 March 2002 and the list of unaccounted for items from the UNSCOM reports.
I draw attention to the first part of the [FCO] briefing of 2 September 2002, in
particular to the reference that ‘we believe that Iraq has recently accelerated its
weapons programme’; ‘increased nuclear procurement’; and to the fact that UN
inspectors in 1998 ‘were unable to account for thousands of tonnes of so-called
precursor chemicals’.”61
147.  As Section 4.1 sets out, the decision to produce a document for publication setting
out the facts on WMD in relation to countries of concern, including Iraq, was taken in
mid-February 2002 and was briefed to the press shortly thereafter.62
148.  Speculation about the publication of a document on Iraq’s WMD and its
significance in relation to a decision about military action against Iraq had continued
throughout the spring and summer of 2002.
149.  On 16 July, No.10 decided to put publication on hold and that further decisions
would be needed on its precise form.63
150.  On the same day, Mr Blair had told the Liaison Committee that if policy on Iraq
moved into a new phase, a document would be published.64
60  Inquiry request for a witness statement, 13 December 2010, Q3(a) page 2.
61  Statement, 14 January 2011, page 4.
62  The Observer, 24 February 2002, Blair and Bush to plot war on Iraq.
63  Minute Manning to McKane, 16 July 2002, ‘Iraq: Public Documents’.
64  Minutes, Liaison Committee (House of Commons), 16 July 2002, [Evidence Session], Q 87-88.
141
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