The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
641.
Mr Brenton
concluded:
“At the
Azores Summit … Bush will be looking for a way of making the
transition
from the
UN process to the military countdown in a manner maximally
helpful to the
Prime
Minister. A key component of this will be the announcement of
our intentions
for a
post-Saddam Iraq, and in particular the level of UN involvement in
administering.
[…] and
there is a clear US red line on fighting to liberate Iraq and then
handing
the
governance over to the UN. Extensive UN involvement short of this
ought to
be achievable,
and is a prize worth fighting for.”
642.
Mr Blair
saw the telegram on the way to the Azores Summit.
643.
Mr Sherard
Cowper-Coles, the British Ambassador to Israel,
subsequently
reported that
there were some suggestions that the announcement of the Road
Map
had been
a gesture to help Mr Blair; and that “as such it should not be
taken too
644.
Mr Blair
contacted a number of leaders to prepare the ground for
the
announcement
that the UK would be taking no further action on the
draft
resolution.
645.
Mr Rycroft
recorded that in the conversation with Mr John Howard, the
Australian
Prime
Minister, on 15 March, Mr Howard asked “if the diplomatic
process was dead”.220
Mr Blair
replied that it had “reached an impasse. The process would struggle
on until
Monday.
Even the Russian position was making things
difficult.”
646.
Mr Blair
added that “a way forward could have been found” if everyone
had
supported
the proposals tabled by the UK the previous week; the “US had not
been
eager about
the proposals, but they were prepared to go along with them. The
tests
had been
taken from the Inspectors’ own reports – they were perfectly
reasonable.”
Saddam
Hussein was “now busy hiding material around Iraq”.
647.
Mr Blair
and Mr Howard also discussed the effect of the French veto
which
the “elected
six”’ were “hiding behind”. The implication would be that the US,
UK and
Australian
troops should stay in the region indefinitely; without forces in
the region the
inspectors
would be “kicked out”. If it was clear the diplomatic process was
not going
to proceed,
there was little point in putting the resolution to a
vote.
648.
Mr Blair
and Mr Howard also discussed the role of the UN and
international
financial
institutions after conflict and the importance of a Road Map for
the MEPP.
219
Telegram
109 Tel Aviv to FCO London, 17 March 2003, ‘MEPP/Iraq: Local US
View’.
220
Letter
[Francis] Campbell to Owen, 15 March 2003, ‘Iraq: Australia, 15
March’.
510