3.8 |
Development of UK strategy and options, 8 to 20 March
2003
190.
Mr Blair
sought Mr Annan’s support for the proposals he was discussing
with Chile,
and through
them Mexico, to construct “clear and specific tests that would
allow us to
assess
whether Saddam was going to come fully into compliance and had
genuinely
191.
Mr Blair
stated that the tests would be tough but achievable and the
timeframe
could be
short: “The US were only prepared to accept a timeframe of days not
weeks.
If Saddam
did demonstrate his seriousness by complying with the tests then a
full work
programme
would ensue.”
192.
Mr Blair
added that President Chirac’s comments “that he would veto a
second
resolution
in any circumstances would cause a real difficulty if they were
proved true.
If the
UN could not reach an agreement and military action took place the
UN would
be seriously
weakened.” It would be hard to achieve a compromise and the US
“were
in no
mood to negotiate further”.
193.
Mr Straw
told Secretary Powell that, if Iraq delivered, the UK and US
“might
have to
take ‘yes’ for an answer”, and that he was reviewing whether to
push for
a vote
if it would be unsuccessful.
194.
Secretary
Powell expressed concern about the perceived shift in the
UK’s
position
given Mr Blair’s assurances that the UK would proceed if there
were nine
votes for a
resolution but a French veto.
195.
In the first
of six conversations with Secretary Powell on 11 March,
Mr Straw said
that he had
sent him the latest version of the UK’s six tests, and that
Mr Blair thought
there was a
chance it would secure votes.69
He and
Mr Blair would be making a series
of phone
calls making the point that: “We’ve moved twice and won’t move
again.”
196.
Secretary
Powell was reported to have said that Ms Ana Palacio, the
Spanish
Foreign
Minister, “was concerned that the Iraqis could do something with
the tests: they
could, for
example, produce 30 scientists”. Mr Straw responded that if
Iraq delivered
“we might
have to take ‘yes’ for an answer”. Secretary Powell said that “was
easier for …
[Mr Straw]
to say than for him to accept”.
197.
Mr Straw
said Mr Blair’s plan was to get President Lagos “in the bag
then get him
to sell the
latest draft to Fox”.
198.
Raising the
question of pushing for a vote “if we knew that would not get a
result”,
Mr Straw
warned Secretary Powell that he was “increasingly of the view that
… would
not be in
the interests of international solidarity and respect for the
UN”.
68
Letter
Lloyd to Owen, 11 March 2003, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s Conversation
with Kofi Annan’.
69
Letter
McDonald to Manning, 11 March 2003, ‘Foreign Secretary’s
Conversation with US Secretary
of State,
11 March’.
435