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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
13.  The points in the speaking note also included:
A description of “five key areas and one key test in each area, for Saddam
to meet by 17 March”, which had been “picked out” from the draft “clusters”
document produced by UNMOVIC.4
If Saddam Hussein “had any intention of complying, he would be able to do
these. If he were to do all of them, it would show that he has had a change of
heart, though even then it would not add up to full disarmament.”
The tests were designed to be “as straightforward and concrete as possible”.
The “onus” was “on Saddam to prove his innocence, not on us to prove
his guilt”.
14.  It was clear in Mr Blair’s discussion with President Lagos on 8 March that Chile did
not support the approach in the draft resolution.5
15.  Mr Blair stated that he had worked out five specific tests. He would send them
to President Lagos, who agreed to discuss the proposals with Mr Vicente Fox, the
Mexican President.
16.  Mr Blair told President Lagos that China would not veto the resolution but France
would; and that he had not given up on persuading Russia to abstain. A “further reason
to want a second resolution, with a gap before the start of military action, was to give the
Arabs a chance to press Saddam to go into exile”.
17.  Sir David Manning, Mr Blair’s Foreign Policy Adviser and Head of the Cabinet Office
Overseas and Defence Secretariat (OD Sec), subsequently wrote to President Lagos
setting out five tests.6
18.  The first test would be to insist on interviews outside Iraq as specified in resolution
1441. The remaining four tests were “based on” the UNMOVIC “clusters” document and
would require Saddam Hussein “to provide either the material that is unaccounted for,
or to produce full documentation proving its destruction” in respect of:
chemical weapons – “specifically VX”;
biological weapons – “specifically anthrax”;
missiles – “specifically SCUDS”; and
remotely piloted vehicles (RPVs) – “specifically their possible adaptation to
deliver CW [chemical weapons]”.
4  UNMOVIC Working Document, 6 March 2003, Unresolved Disarmament Issues: Iraq’s Proscribed
Weapons Programmes.
5  Letter Rycroft to Owen, 8 March 2003, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s Conversation with Chilean President,
8 March’.
6  Letter Manning to Lagos, 8 March 2003, [untitled].
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