The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
768.
A draft ‘UK
Iraq Strategy’ was circulated to members of the AHMGIR for
comment
769.
The final
version was issued to members of the AHMGIR by the Cabinet
Office
on 8
October after “those Private Offices who responded indicated their
Ministers’
endorsement”.
770.
Sir Nigel
Sheinwald annotated his copy: “I don’t see a need for PM
[Mr Blair]
771.
The Strategy
acknowledged the CPA Strategy published in July 2003
and
stated that
this was a longer-term UK Strategy for Iraq that was broadly
consistent
with the
CPA Strategy, but which set the framework for specific UK
activities towards
772.
The Strategy
identified the UK objective as:
“Iraq to
become a stable, united and law-abiding state, within its present
borders,
co-operating
within the international community, no longer posing a threat to
its
neighbours
or to international security, abiding by all its international
obligations and
providing
effective representative government, sustainable economic growth
and
rising
living standards to its entire people.”
773.
The Strategy
stated that:
•
Successful
reconstruction required the “widest possible” international
support.
Getting the
UN and IFIs engaged would increase the chances of securing
that
support.
•
The US had
far greater resources than the UK, but UK influence over US
policy
was limited
and the UK’s approach would be “vulnerable to shifts in US
thinking”.
•
The UK was
active at a national level, but UK assets were concentrated in
the
South where
the UK was most exposed to the consequences of
failure.
•
There were
few quick fixes for essential services. Improvement
would
require
multi-year projects “even beyond the scope of the CPA if it
receives
US$20bn from
Congress”. Nevertheless, the UK needed to demonstrate
some
visible progress in improving living standards in order to maintain
local
consent.
For the UK in CPA(South), that would require more funding and
more
skilled personnel.
428
Minute Dodd
to Sheinwald, 8 October 2003, ‘UK Iraq Strategy’ attaching Paper
Cabinet Office,
7 October
2003, ‘UK Iraq Strategy Paper’.
429
Manuscript
comment Sheinwald on Minute Dodd to Sheinwald, 8 October 2003, ‘UK
Iraq Strategy’.
430
Paper
Cabinet Office, 7 October 2003, ‘UK Iraq Strategy
Paper’.
134