10.1 |
Reconstruction: March 2003 to June 2004
774.
The Strategy
stated that “to help planning”, Iraq’s recovery should be
considered
in three
phases: stabilisation, to December 2003; recovery, to December
2004; and
normalisation,
from January 2005. The Strategy defined “UK objectives” for each
phase
in relation
to security, the political process and reconstruction.
775.
The UK’s
over-arching reconstruction objective for the stabilisation
phase
(to
December 2003) was that Iraq would reach pre-conflict levels of
“development
and
order”.
776.
The objective
for the recovery phase, to December 2004, was that
Iraq
would
exceed pre-conflict levels of development and order, and plans
would be
being
implemented to develop Iraq’s own capacity to lead economic and
physical
reconstruction.
777.
The objective
for the normalisation phase, from January 2005, was that
Iraq
would be
“largely self-supporting”, providing its own public services and
with a growing
market-based
economy.
778.
The Strategy
acknowledged that this scenario was “ambitious”. Risks to
progress
included
resistance to the Coalition and slow progress on the political
process and
reconstruction.
A protracted occupation would be costly, increase anti-Western
sentiment
across the
region and provide further reason for terrorist attacks in US and
UK interests.
779.
The UK would
continue to be active in a number of areas but would, as
Ministers
had
directed, focus its engagement on economic management, SSR and oil.
An Action
Plan
covering the stabilisation phase was being developed.
780.
On resources,
the Strategy stated that the UK military occupation force would
cost
around £1bn
in 2003/04 (and less in future years). The DFID programme for
2003/04
was £201m
and was fully committed. Of the £60m provided by the Treasury in
April, the
FCO had
been allocated £21m to cover CPA staff and security costs, and DFID
had bid
for the
remaining £40m.431
781.
Looking ahead,
the Strategy stated that departments’ bids for funding for Iraq
for
2004/05
would be subject to negotiation with the Treasury. An “appropriate”
level of UK
contribution
to reconstruction and development was being considered in the light
of
Iraq’s
needs, Iraqi and international contributions, and the UK’s resource
position.
782.
Sir Suma
Chakrabarti told the Inquiry that the UK Strategy was:
“Very
important, but quite high-flown sort of stuff and not really linked
to operational
431
The
Treasury had agreed on 25 September to provide DFID with an
additional £6.5m from the Reserve,
but
rejected its request to earmark £33.5m for anticipated future
needs.
432
Public
hearing, 22 January 2010, page 4.
135