The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
impact on
the public debate. Later, many of the assertions in Colin’s speech
would
prove
inaccurate. But at the time, his words reflected the considered
judgement
of intelligence
agencies at home and around the world.”21
84.
In his memoir,
Mr Annan wrote:
“… I was
impressed with his delivery but I was most concerned about the
substance.
He did not
produce any evidence of the ‘smoking gun’ variety, despite
effectively
claiming to
possess such evidence. Worse, I was not alone in thinking that
Powell
himself did
not appear as though he entirely believed his own
case.”22
85.
Sir Jeremy
Greenstock reported that, in private discussions over lunch,
Mr Annan
commented
that the forthcoming visit to Baghdad by Dr Blix and
Dr Mohamed ElBaradei,
Director
General of the IAEA, could be used to tell Iraq that the Security
Council
“unanimously
insisted on much improved co‑operation”.23
86.
Sir Jeremy
reported that Dr Blix had said he was grateful for the
information
provided by
Secretary Powell, which he would study carefully. If there were
things
hidden in
Iraq, the inspectors would try to find them. He had welcomed the
Council’s
wish to
stay united and the message that Iraq must co-operate
actively:
“This could
not be a game of catch-as-catch-can. Co-operation had to
be
spontaneous.
UNMOVIC could do a lot with more resources and
improved
equipment.
But Iraq was a big country. What really counted was
active
co-operation
on the South Africa model.”
87.
Dr ElBaradei
had “echoed” most of what Dr Blix had said: “There were plenty
of
things to
be clarified by the Iraqis … Iraqi co-operation must improve in a
dramatic way.”
88.
Asked by
Secretary Powell to explain his idea of reinforced inspections,
Sir Jeremy
reported
that Mr de Villepin stated he believed:
“… there
was space between fully active co-operation and war for other
options …
The Middle
East was complex. A broader strategy was needed. Force had to
be
the very
last resort, and then only with the legitimacy of the UN. To win
the peace
after the
war, the involvement of the UN was essential. The inspection regime
under
1441
allowed the Council this further possibility. Only if they [the
inspectors] met
a deadlock
would we need to come back to 1441. We could not afford to go to
a
bloody,
long, expensive war on the basis of impatience. Other states would
draw the
conclusion
that you needed nuclear weapons to avoid attack: compare North
Korea.
Such crises
had to be solved by the international community
collectively.
21
Bush
GW. Decision
Points. Virgin
Books, 2010.
22 Annan,
K. Interventions:
A Life In War And Peace. Allen Lane,
2012.
23
Telegram
214 UKMIS New York to FCO London, 6 February 2003, ‘Iraq: 5
February
Security Council Lunch’.
194