The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
380.
Mr Straw
and Secretary Powell discussed again the importance of
Mr Blair making
that point
when he next spoke to President Bush. They also discussed that it
would be
hard to see
how there could be a second resolution, and even harder to justify
military
action, if
the inspectors failed to find anything.
381.
Mr Straw
and Secretary Powell spoke twice on 30 December. In their
first
conversation,
they discussed the possibility that the military would be ready to
take
action but
there would be no casus belli.133
382.
In their
second conversation Mr Straw and Secretary Powell discussed
the
likelihood
that, when the UN inspectors reported to the Security Council on 27
January,
they would
report that they needed more time to complete their
work.134
383.
Mr Straw
said it was:
“…
perfectly possible that a clear casus belli could have been
presented by
27 January,
in which case we would get a second resolution and military
action
would go
ahead. But there was a sufficient possibility that we would not be
in that
position.
We should therefore develop a clear ‘plan B’ for the President and
the
Prime
Minister in which military action was postponed on the basis that
inspections
plus the
threat of force was containing Saddam.”
384.
Mr Straw
said he would discuss that further with Sir David Manning
and
Mr Ricketts.
On 30
December, the Security Council adopted resolution 1452, adjusting
the Goods
Review List
approved in resolution 1409 (2002) and deciding to conduct a
thorough review
of the List
and the procedures for its implementation.135
Russia and
Syria abstained in the vote:
•
The Russian
representative stated that the text was too
restrictive.
•
The Syrian
representative stated that Iraq’s co‑operation with the
weapons
inspectors
and constructive approach on resolution 1441 (2002) should lead to
the
lifting of
sanctions, not the addition of further
restrictions.136
133
Telegram
671 FCO London to Washington, 30 December 2002, ‘Iraq: Foreign
Secretary’s Conversation
with US
Secretary of State, 30 December’.
134
Letter
Straw to Manning, 30 December 2002, ‘Iraq: Conversation with Colin
Powell, 30 December’.
135
UN Security
Council resolution 1454 (2002).
136
UN Press
Release, 30 December 2002, Security
Council Adjusts List of Restricted Goods Procedures
of Iraq
Oil‑for‑Food Programme (SC/7623).
70