The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
627.
A Cabinet
Office update for Ministers on 14 August reflected the same
analysis:
“… the
Basra demonstrations are evidence of increasing frustration with
the
Coalition’s
failure to restore basic services. Attacks on MND(SE) are
widening.”347
628.
Sir Hilary
Synnott wrote in his memoir:
“… Riots
erupted outside our Electricity Accounts building. Instead of just
stones and
rocks,
there was now gunfire …
… Within a
day, however, the Army had stepped in to organise the fuel
distribution
network …
The violence subsided to a normal level as quickly as it had blown
up.”348
629.
Lieutenant
General Robert Fry, Deputy Chief of Defence Staff
(Commitments),
advised the
Chiefs of Staff on 18 August:
“Iraqi
consent to the Coalition presence in MND(SE) is declining because
supplies
of fuel,
power and water are failing to meet expectations.”349
630.
He reported
that UK troops were being diverted to “fuel security”
tasks;
19 Mechanised
Brigade was now dedicating four patrols to fuel security tasks
for
every one
patrol to general security tasks.
631.
Lt Gen Fry
identified three courses of action for the UK:
•
accelerate
reconstruction by the CPA;
•
step in to
lead the reconstruction effort in MND(SE); or
•
step in
temporarily to alleviate the situation, before handing over to
the
CPA/Iraqi
ministries.
632.
Lt Gen Fry
concluded that if an acceleration of the CPA’s reconstruction
effort did
not check
the deterioration, then a shift to the third course of action would
be essential.
633.
The Chiefs of
Staff meeting on 20 August agreed that the first course of
action
should be
pursued, although contingency planning should be undertaken for the
third
634.
An update for
the AHMGIR, produced on 20 August, advised that Basra was
now
calmer,
although that calm might be “short-lived if the Coalition cannot
maintain at least
the current
level of service delivery”.351
Security
across MND(SE) remained volatile, and
security
concerns had led to the withdrawal of Japanese staff in
CPA(South).
347
Letter
Drummond to Owen, 14 August 2003, ‘Iraq: Update for Ministers’
attaching Paper Cabinet Office,
14 August
2003, ‘Iraq: Update for Ministers, 14 August 2003’.
348
Synnott
H. Bad Days in
Basra: My Turbulent Time as Britain’s Man in Southern
Iraq. I B
Tauris & Co
Ltd.,
2008.
349
Minute
DCDS(C) to COSSEC, 18 August 2003, ‘Essential services in
MND(SE)’.
350
Minutes, 20
August 2003, Chiefs of Staff meeting.
351
Paper
Cabinet Office, 20 August 2003, ‘Iraq: Update for Ministers, 21
August 2003’.
110