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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
“consider an early, steadying phone call from you to Bush; and pencil in a
January meeting between you.”
260.  During a meeting with Mr Hoon and Adm Boyce to discuss military planning on
11 December (see Section 6.1), Sir David Manning and Sir Richard Dearlove also
briefed Mr Blair on their recent visits to Washington and “on UK attempts to secure
credible evidence that the Iraqi WMD declaration was false.81
261.  Mr Rycroft recorded that Mr Blair:
“… said that we needed to analyse the Iraqi declaration, ask pointed questions
about issues which the declaration failed to deal with … encourage Blix to ask these
questions of the Iraqis too, and continue to work on securing credible evidence that
Saddam was pursuing WMD programmes.”
262.  Mr Blair would speak to President Bush and possibly Dr Blix in the next few days.
263.  Mr Campbell wrote in his diaries:
“C [Sir Richard Dearlove] and David Manning were just back from the US and
they reported the mood there was far tougher. They [the US] felt Saddam was just
messing about and that Blix was hopeless and too soft.”82
264.  In preparation for a conversation with President Bush, Mr Stephen Pattison, Head
of the FCO United Nations Department, provided advice on key messages for Mr Blair.83
265.  The FCO messages were:
We’re working fast on analysing the declaration and identifying discrepancies
between it and our intelligence.
We should not rush to a final judgement. It will be worth taking a little time
to build the best possible case against Iraq.
The UK would adopt a sceptical tone when Dr Blix briefed the Security Council
on 19 December.
The onus was on Iraq to demonstrate it was co‑operating fully and UNMOVIC
should be encouraged to push hard. Access to information would be crucial.
The UK should help UNMOVIC to identify personnel who might be able to
provide relevant information.
An omission in the declaration would not “by itself” constitute a material breach.
It was “much more likely that we shall be able to establish a material breach over
time, as we build up a pattern of non‑compliance which is sufficiently serious to
81  Letter Rycroft to Watkins, 11 December 2002, ‘Iraq: Military Preparations’.
82  Campbell A & Hagerty B. The Alastair Campbell Diaries. Volume 4. The Burden of Power: Countdown
to Iraq. Hutchinson, 2012.
83  Letter Pattison to Rycroft, 11 December 2002, ‘Iraq: PM’s Conversation with President Bush’.
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