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3.3  |  Development of UK strategy and options, April to July 2002
the United States see the United Nations playing, and what was the United States
planning to do about the Middle East Peace Process?”182
464.  Sir David said he had told Mr Armitage that he “didn’t think we had answers to
those questions”. Mr Armitage had replied that he thought they needed a lot more work
and that: “It was better to be right than to hurry.”183
465.  During his visit to Washington, Sir David Manning told President Bush that
Mr Blair agreed Saddam Hussein had to go, but it would be impossible for the
UK to take part in any action against Iraq unless it went through the UN.
466.  Sir David reported that President Bush had been “very struck” by Mr Blair’s
emphasis on an ultimatum; and that he had not yet made up his mind. Mr Blair
should push the need for action through the UN and an ultimatum “very hard”
in his telephone call with President Bush on 31 July.
467.  Sir David Manning delivered the Note from Mr Blair to President Bush to Dr Rice
on 29 July.184 Sir David told the Inquiry that he and Dr Rice had discussed the Note
during dinner. He had told her that, as the Note made clear:
“Britain could only take part in any policy if it was part of a coalition which went
through the United Nations.”
The “Middle East Peace Process was absolutely critical”.
“[S]o was the effort … to explain why Iraq was an issue and why we felt we had
to tackle it.”
468.  Sir David told the Inquiry that he had also set out the questions he had raised with
Mr Armitage.
469.  Sir David Manning’s record of his discussion with Dr Rice for Mr Blair advised that
he had indicated that the Note was sent personally to the President and not intended
for wider circulation.185 Sir David had concluded President Bush wanted the UK to be
involved. There was some reluctance in the US Administration (to involve the UN), but
Mr Blair “just might persuade” President Bush. If he did, that would “transform the public
relations campaign and make action much easier to manage”.
470.  A meeting in early September had also been discussed which would allow
President Bush to hear “directly” what Mr Blair had to say.
471.  Sir David cautioned that, until then, Mr Blair should “not … commit” himself
“formally and finally to anything, except moral support … Leaving things open may
182  Public hearing, 30 November 2009, pages 16-17.
183  Public hearing, 30 November 2009, pages 16-17.
184  Public hearing, 30 November 2009, pages 17-18.
185  Minute Manning to Prime Minister, 31 July 2002, ‘Iraq: Conversation with Condi Rice’.
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