The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
pressure on
Iraq and to begin to build a legal base for possible
military
action; and
•
whether the
May resolution giving effect to the Goods Review List
(GRL)
agreed in
November 2001 (resolution 1382) might “repeat in stronger
terms
the Council’s
demands for the unconditional return of the
inspectors”.11
34.
Mr Gray
advised that he did “not think there was any prospect in
foreseeable
circumstances”
of getting a resolution “explicitly authorising military action”;
and it was
“conceivable”
that this might lead to “severe pressure, to the point of facing a
draft
resolution
forcing us to back away from this option altogether”.
35.
Mr Gray also
advised:
•
Officials
were “strongly inclined not to jeopardise” the GRL resolution
“by
attempting
to include military action language in its implementing
resolution”.
•
The
prospects for inserting language into the resolution “rolling over
the
Oil‑for‑Food
programme” at the end of May “might be better”, but UK
actions
on Iraq
were “now subject to minute scrutiny in the Council”. Russia and
Syria
would
“quickly detect language which smacked of easing the justification
for
military
action”.
•
It might be
possible to insert a demand for the return of inspectors into
the
Oil-for-Food
resolution but success would depend on the demands of
other
members. If
the talks between Mr Kofi Annan, the UN Secretary-General,
and
Iraq made
progress, the UK might seek a separate resolution calling for
the
return of
inspectors; but the difficulties involved would be
“considerable”.
36.
Sir Jeremy
Greenstock, the UK Permanent Representative to the UN in New
York,
told the
Inquiry:
“Towards
the end of 2001, the Russians signalled to us that they might be
more
amenable to
a smart sanctions regime … in February or so of 2002, the US
…
Secretary
[of State] Colin Powell went serious on getting the smart sanctions
regime
and there
was a series of bilateral negotiations between Washington and
Moscow
which was
out of sight of the Security Council … The UK had no part in
those
37.
Cabinet was
informed on 9 May that a revised system of sanctions was likely to
be
38.
The Security
Council adopted resolution 1409 on Iraq on 14 May. It
introduced
a new
sanctions regime, with a revised GRL and new procedures for
applications for
licences to
trade with Iraq, with effect from 30 May. Trade in commodities or
products,
11 Minute Gray
to Goulty and PS [FCO], 11 April 2002, ‘Iraq: UN’.
12
Public
hearing, 27 November 2009, pages 19-20.
13
Cabinet
Conclusions, 9 May 2002.
10