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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
enforcement of existing resolutions, “particularly the Syrian pipeline”. Tightening the
sanctions regime would be “difficult to achieve and did little to prevent confrontation”,
which was now the “basic aim”.
78.  Mr Paganon and Mr Goulty agreed on the need “to maintain P5 [the five Permanent
Members of the Security Council] unity”.
79.  Mr Patey said that if the:
“… consensus were broken, military action would be more likely. The US would
be prepared to act on their own if necessary, but would be inhibited if there were a
viable UN track in train.”
80.  Mr Paganon agreed that it was vital the P5 and Arab states sent the same tough
message to Saddam Hussein.
81.  Mr Goulty stated:
“… in the meantime we should all send the same message to the Americans, that
we should continue to go down the UN route, and that if this did not work, we would
then have a better pretext for dealing with WMD through military action.”
82.  Sir John Holmes advised on 19 February that France was “particularly concerned”
about what President Bush’s “axis of evil” implied for US policy.30 It was ready to
recognise that “differences with the Americans” were “more about means than
ends”; but they would want to work with the UK “to keep American action within the
international system”.
83.  France had “worried since the end of the Cold War that American power was
becoming disproportionate”. The main French concerns following President Bush’s “axis
of evil” speech were that the US:
would be “increasingly tempted towards unilateral action without consulting allies
or the UN”;
saw “military action as more or less the sole response to terrorism and
proliferation”; and
was confusing the two problems of terrorism and proliferation.
84.  The French view was that:
“… as well as clamping down hard (but in accordance with international law) on
unacceptable actions, we also need to address their political economic, cultural
and military causes … [A]scribing them simply to a national or individual propensity
for wrongdoing is inadequate. There are reasons beyond mere wickedness why
bad regimes come to power and survive: simply keeping the lid on the ambitions of
30  Telegram 123 Paris to FCO London, 19 February 2002, ‘US Foreign Policy: France and the Axis of Evil’.
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