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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
be responsible for many, many more deaths even in one year than we will be in any
conflict”.167
269.  In November 2003, in response to media and NGO reporting on the high levels
of civilian casualties, the Government began to consider whether and how it should
respond to demands for information on the number of civilians killed in Iraq, including the
number killed by UK forces.
270.  That consideration was driven by the Government’s concern to sustain domestic
support for operations in Iraq. Mr Straw and Mr Hoon agreed in November 2003 that the
Government needed to produce accurate casualty figures to rebut claims that Coalition
Forces were killing large numbers of civilians; in October 2004, Mr Blair stated that
the Government needed an estimate of civilian casualties which showed the extent of
insurgent responsibility.
271.  With hindsight, greater efforts should have been made in the post‑conflict period to
determine the number of civilian casualties and the broader effects of military operations
on civilians. A trial monitoring exercise initiated by No.10 in November 2004 was not
completed. Much more Ministerial and senior official time was devoted to the question
of which department should have responsibility for the issue of civilian casualties than to
efforts to determine the actual number.
272.  The Government was aware of several reports and studies (the Iraqi Ministry of
Health in October 2004, the Lancet studies in October 2004 and October 2006, and
the Iraq Body Count dossier in July 2005) which suggested that coalition forces were
responsible for more civilian deaths than were the insurgents.
273.  Those reports did not trigger any work within the Government either to determine
the number of civilian casualties or to reassess its military or civilian effort. An FCO
official commented that the Iraqi Ministry of Health’s figures “will not help make the case
that more civilians have been killed by terrorists than by military action”.168
274.  The Inquiry has considered the question of whether a Government should, in the
future, do more to maintain a fuller understanding of the human cost of any conflict in
which it is engaged.
275.  All military operations carry a risk of civilian casualties. The parties to a conflict
have an obligation under International Humanitarian Law to limit its effects on civilians.
276.  In Iraq, the UK Government recognised that obligation in its Rules of Engagement,
Targeting Directive and guidance on Battle Damage Assessment. The Government did
not consider that it had a legal obligation to count civilian casualties.
167  House of Commons, Official Report, 19 March 2003, column 934.
168  Minute FCO [junior official] to Owen, 13 October 2004, ‘Iraq: Civilian Casualty Figures’.
218
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