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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
727.  On 8 October, Mr Brown announced that the MOD was placing an order for an
additional 140 Mastiff vehicles.394
INTRODUCTION OF A NEW PROCESS TO DETERMINE THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL
OF RISK IN OPERATIONS
728.  In September 2007, the DOC reported on its “extensive review and analysis of the
UK’s current Force Protection (FP) capability in order to expose risk, provide assurance
and present strategic recommendations to COS [Chiefs of Staff]”.395
729.  The review was not specific to Iraq or Afghanistan but drew heavily on the UK’s
experience there. The review focused on:
risk and governance;
the application of theatre entry standards;
training;
lines of communication;
protection in the land, air and maritime environments;
operational level protection; and
UOR procured equipment.
730.  The review stated:
“Before undertaking an operation, COS should collectively reach a judgement on
sensitivities, likely benefits and consequences as well as the appetite – amongst
public, politicians and ministers – for sustaining casualties and prosecuting
operations that carried a certain degree of risk. This risk/benefit analysis would be
articulated and reviewed through the Strategic Estimate process. Any guidance
would have to be balanced to ensure that it was not overly prescriptive … or,
conversely, too generic …”
“… The management of FP risk must be based on a thorough identification of
strategic and operational threats to ensure that a balance of research, investment
and training is achieved commensurate with the threat …
“In deriving an assessment of cumulative risk, PJHQ should have a clear
understanding of the totality of known risk in the forces declared to it. This should
include all the equipment and other limitations which were accepted in the
procurement of force elements; all the subsequent limitations evident in practice
together with manpower, training or logistic support issues. If this risk capture
process works efficiently, CJO will be able to form an accurate judgment of the risk
to the protection of UK forces, which in turn would allow him to engage on palliative
measures required early in the operational planning process.”
394  House of Commons, Official Report, 8 October 2007, column 24.
395  Report DOC, September 2007, ‘Protection of the Deployed Force Operational Audit Report 1/07’.
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