The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
320.
The FCO
briefing advised that gaining the co-operation of some of
Iraq’s
neighbours,
and providing a safety net for others, were important steps in
making
progress on
a new sanctions regime.172
321.
During his
visit, Mr Straw discussed progress on securing “Smart Sanctions”
and
the
importance of winning over the front line states.173
322.
Sir Peter
Ricketts told the Inquiry that he had believed in July 2001 that “a
growing
majority on
the Security Council” could “see that the current sanctions regime
was not
working …
and should be replaced”, and that there was momentum behind the
policy.174
323.
Sir Jeremy
Greenstock gave the Inquiry a more pessimistic view:
“The
Oil-for-Food regime was … rolled over for six months at the
beginning of
July 2001
with no prospect of this stalemate being ended even in the
following
six-month
period.
“… this was
quite a low point in the saga of the Security Council’s activities
on Iraq,
since it
seemed that there was no way forward on any of the potential
tracks.
“The UK
concluded from this experience that it was going to be extremely
difficult to
end the
fundamental stalemate at the Security Council over Iraqi sanctions
… with
the failure
of the Security Council to reach any form of agreement on Iraq’s
future,
we were
looking at the prospect of a continued unravelling of the sanctions
regime,
of growing
confidence in Baghdad that they could outwit the international
community
and of a
real prospect that, over time, Iraq would be able to reconstitute
some of
the
programmes which had been destroyed after 1991. In the summer of
2001,
we and the
Americans had no clear ideas on how we could successfully get
out
324.
Russia’s
attitude towards Iraq was discussed on 19 July during President
Bush’s
visit to
the UK. Mr Blair highlighted the need to persuade President Putin
to engage
325.
Mr Blair’s
memoir recorded that President Putin had joked that he
was
“all in
favour” of sanctions “provided we compensated him for the US$8bn
that Iraq
172
Briefing
FCO, [undated], ‘Secretary of State’s Visit to the United States:
10-11 July 2001 Iraq’.
173
Telegram
793 Washington to FCO London, 12 July 2001, ‘Your Visit to
Washington, 10-11 July: Talks
with Colin
Powell: Iraq’.
174
Public
hearing, 24 November 2009, pages 74-75.
175
Statement,
27 November 2009, pages 3-4.
176
Letter
Sawers to Cowper-Coles, 20 July 2001, ‘Prime Minister’s Talks with
President Bush, Chequers,
19
July’.
177
Blair
T. A
Journey.
Hutchinson, 2010.
252