12.1 |
Security Sector Reform
1433.
On the
14th Division, the JIC judged:
“The
replacement of an Iraqi Army brigade in Basra with the new
14th Army Division
(still 50
percent undermanned) and the deployment of an NP [National
Police]
battalion
and a mechanised infantry unit have raised the ISF profile in Basra
from
30,000 in
June to 33,500 in December. MNF expect ISF to reach a full
strength
of 36,500
in June 2008. Largely manned from outside Basra, these forces
are
probably
less influenced by local tribal and political ties or militia
infiltration than
those
recruited locally. The vast majority of JAM continues to observe a
cease‑fire
with MNF in
Basra and have not challenged ISF for local control – although […]
they
think they
could successfully do so.”
1434.
On 8 January
2008, AM Peach told the Chiefs of Staff that Gen Mohan
had
created a
“security equilibrium” in Basra, using a “carrot and stick”
approach, but that
recent
concessions and reassurances by him to JAM “demonstrated the
precarious
nature of
the balance of power in Basra”.1310
1435.
Gen Mohan
visited the UK in January.1311
He gave an
“upbeat” description of
security,
stating that it was up to the British if they wanted to leave but
that he needed to
be left
with “real military capability” to outface JAM and Iranian‑backed
militias. He asked
for UK
assistance in building intelligence capabilities.
1436.
IDF attacks on
UK forces at Basra Air Station began to rise again in 2008
(see
Section
9.6). On 21 February, Major General Barney White‑Spunner, who
had just
succeeded
Maj Gen Binns as GOC MND(SE), commented:
“General
Mohan is fully aware (as are we) that his ability to further
strengthen
his control
of Basra City is limited as the ISF cannot match JAM in their
urban
heartlands,
though he is deploying 14th Division into the city as soon as
he can.
Our efforts
to develop the ISF capability to interdict smuggling of lethal aid
as well
as strenuous
efforts to develop their urban warfare skills may enable Mohan to
have
the desired
effect in the future, but for now there is not very much he can
do.”1312
1437.
In his
evidence to the Inquiry, Lt Gen White‑Spunner recalled that
the first
“increasingly
obvious” point on his arrival was that:
“… we
needed to redirect our training of the ISF and we needed to …
dedicate more
of a
mission to … develop 14 Division.”1313
1438.
Lt
Gen White‑Spunner said that Gen Mohan had asked for
“offensive support”:
“By this we
mean those weapons systems … which support infantry rather
than
being
infantry themselves, particularly the ability to target air and
helicopters,
intelligence
and surveillance assistance, assistance with command and
control
and logistics.”
1310
Minutes, 8
January 2008, Chiefs of Staff meeting.
1311
Minute
Binns to CJO, 24 January 2008, ‘GOC MND(SE) Weekly Letter – 24
January 2008’.
1312
Minute
White‑Spunner to CJO, 21 February 2008, ‘GOC MND(SE) Weekly Letter
– 21 February 2008’.
1313
Public
hearing, 7 January 2010, pages 5‑6.
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