12.1 |
Security Sector Reform
to
Provincial Iraqi Control (PIC) by April. Over 70 percent of Police
Stations in
Basra
province have already reached this level. This is up markedly from
a starting
average TRA
level of 3.3 (out of 4) in September 2006.
“However,
for all the efforts made, levels of trust in the police force
remain low, and
some
assessments indicate that the IPS continue to do more to undermine
rather
than
guarantee security.”
1338.
On the Iraqi
Army, the paper stated that the main issue was the “quality of
its
leadership,
in addition to unwillingness to stand up to militia activity and a
lack of
equipment”.
To address concerns about 10th Division’s capabilities and
readiness, a
“dedicated”
SSR team of four MiTTs would be deployed, each comprising five or
six
people, to
carry out training at divisional and brigade level.
1339.
The paper
noted that closing bases in the city would make any
military
re‑intervention
high‑risk. In the event of re‑intervention, all training of the ISF
would
have to
cease until the operation was complete. Post‑PIC plans for SSR
depended on
a degree of
freedom of movement in and around Basra, including a military and
civilian
presence at
the PJCC.
1340.
Mr Browne
visited Iraq from 28 to 31 January (described in Section
9.5).1235
In
a
report of
the visit, an Assistant Private Secretary reported that
Mr Browne was told that:
•
The
leadership of Basra security structures was inadequate (a
point
which he in turn
raised with Prime Minister Maliki and Mr Abdel Qadir,
Iraqi
Defence
Minister).
•
The US was
not convinced about Basra being ready for transition or
the
capability
of the 10th Division.
•
The Police
Adviser felt the police were less effective than six months
before
“principally
because of intimidation rather than any lack of training or
capability”.
1341.
Mr Browne’s
Assistant Private Secretary commented that those views
seemed
to
contradict the messages that had previously been received on the
success of
Op SINBAD.
There was “a lack of firm indicators to substantiate or refute” the
different
conclusions.
1342.
In his update
to DOP on 1 February, Mr Browne reported on his visit to
Iraq.1236
In Basra he
had “seen first hand the positive effect that Operation SINBAD had
had”;
the
reported murder rate had reduced and “sectarian violence had almost
stopped”.
Continued
violence was mainly directed against coalition forces.
1235
Minute
McNeil to MA1/DCDS(C), 1 February 2006 [sic], ‘Defence Secretary’s
Visit to Iraq –
28‑31 January
2007’.
1236
Minutes, 1
February 2007, DOP meeting.
365