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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
were briefed that the eventual move to provincial control would be based on “complex,
inter‑dependent conditions” that were not fully defined and would depend upon the
development of a national security framework and that, although military SSR activity
in MND(SE) was progressing well, the scope for significant military disengagement
in 2005 would be limited. Military SSR was expected to be completed in MND(SE) in
March 2006.
860.  Lt Gen Fry highlighted that non‑military Iraqi capabilities, especially the IPS, were
lagging behind the Iraqi Army and stated:
“This imbalance must be redressed not only to ward against an overly dominant
IA [Iraqi Army], but also to allow us to realise the potential military dividend of our
efforts with the IA.”
861.  Lt Gen Fry suggested that the UK needed to:
influence the development of a national policing strategy;
encourage greater international involvement, particularly for gendarmerie‑type
training;
develop IPS leadership and niche capabilities; and
develop an effective judiciary and prison system to support IPS activity.
862.  Lt Gen Fry stated that the FCO was planning to address some of those shortfalls
but that those plans required “significant extra funding and depend largely on the
availability of suitable senior UK policemen”. MOD activity to support IPS development
at that stage comprised:
basic skills training;
training of TSUs (to focus on public order, dangerous criminality and low level
insurgent action); and
the provision of military officers to support planning and co‑ordination at the
Provincial Joint Operations Centres (PJOCs).
863.  Lt Gen Fry identified three risks to ISF development in MND(SE) progressing
ahead of national development:
The ISF in MND(SE) would not mesh into national Iraqi security structures.
The ISF would become autonomous and “prone to tribal, political and
confessional influences rather than national control”.
There may be a lack of national logistical, equipment, procurement and
maintenance structures for them to access.
864.  Lt Gen Fry suggested that those risks could be mitigated, to some extent, by UK
advisers in Iraq’s security Ministries seeking to accelerate the development on coherent
national policies and structures and that where possible the UK “should seek to achieve
a demonstrable vanguard effect by spreading UK ‘best practice’ in the development of
ISF to other areas in Iraq”.
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