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1.1  |  UK Iraq strategy 1990 to 2000
UNSCOM had “arrived at an assessment … that Iraq’s declarations on the
unilateral destruction of the special warheads did not match all the physical
evidence”. Iraq was asked to discuss the issue on 3 August.
UNSCOM and Iraq had been “able to identify jointly steps to clarify some of the
problems related to Iraq’s actions of 1991 to hide special warheads”, but the
effort was terminated by Iraq on 30 July when it refused to provide access to
relevant sites or to discuss the issue any further.
There were outstanding issues relating to the remnants of “some 50
conventional warheads … that have not been recovered”. Some 30 of those had
been indigenously produced.
570.  In relation to missiles, the outstanding issues were:
Iraq’s missile force was in possession of seven indigenously produced missiles
in 1991. Iraq maintained that they were training missiles which had been
unilaterally destroyed, but no remnants of the missiles or their engines had
been found.
A team of international experts had assessed in July that, by the end of
1990, Iraq had the capability to assemble a limited number of engines for its
indigenously produced proscribed missiles and Iraq should account for the
key components from that programme. A “rough material balance” had been
developed but additional verification work was recommended.
Iraq had refused to address proscribed liquid missile propellants.
Iraq continued its development of the Al Samoud missile system which had a
declared range of less than 150km, but the issue of its reuse of Volga engines
from surface to air missiles was “unresolved”.
571.  In relation to chemical weapons, outstanding issues were:
Iraq had provided “only preliminary information” on its investigation of the 550
missing 155mm shells filled with mustard.
Accounting for about 500 of the 1,000 bombs unilaterally destroyed was “not
possible owing to the state and extent of destruction”. UNSCOM wanted to verify
the maximum number of R-400 aerial bombs to facilitate the final accounting
for chemical bombs. The quantity and composition of biological bombs was still
an issue.
There were “serious discrepancies” between Iraq’s declarations and the report of
its consumption of special munitions in the 1980s.
UNSCOM’s view was that Iraq was “certainly able to produce VX, and probably
produced it in quantity”. There was “significant doubt” about Iraq’s claim that it
had not weaponised VX.
Iraq had provided clarification of the production equipment removed from al-
Muthanna in July 1998 but field verification had been “blocked” since 5 August.
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