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SECTION 9.8
CONCLUSIONS: THE POST-CONFLICT PERIOD
Contents
Introduction and key findings ........................................................................................ 470
Objectives and preparation ........................................................................................... 471
Overview of the post-conflict period .............................................................................. 472
Occupation .................................................................................................................... 473
Looting in Basra ...................................................................................................... 473
Looting in Baghdad ................................................................................................. 474
UK influence on post-invasion strategy .................................................................. 475
Resolution 1483 ............................................................................................... 475
UK influence on the Coalition Provisional Authority ......................................... 476
A decline in security ................................................................................................ 479
The turning point ..................................................................................................... 484
Transition ...................................................................................................................... 485
UK influence on US strategy post-CPA ................................................................... 485
Planning for withdrawal ........................................................................................... 485
The impact of Afghanistan ...................................................................................... 487
Iraqiisation .............................................................................................................. 489
Preparation for withdrawal ............................................................................................ 491
A major divergence in strategy ............................................................................... 491
A possible civil war .................................................................................................. 492
Force Level Review ................................................................................................ 495
The beginning of the end ........................................................................................ 498
Did the UK achieve its strategic objectives in Iraq? ...................................................... 499
Issues in the UK system ............................................................................................... 501
Strategy-making ...................................................................................................... 501
Optimism bias ......................................................................................................... 502
Lessons ......................................................................................................................... 503
469
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