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9.7  |  May 2008 to October 2009
290.  The Chiefs of Staff were content that these provisions “but no less” were sufficient
to allow the UK military to complete its tasks. Mr Hutton and ACM Stirrup therefore
recommended that Mr Brown agree with Prime Minister Maliki that UK forces should
complete their mission in Iraq on that basis. The MOD would need to review the position
if the text of the draft law changed as it proceeded through the Iraqi Parliament.
291.  The draft law on immunities meant that UK forces were exempt from Iraqi
justice unless they committed a crime “off-base and with intent or as a result of gross
negligence”. Anyone captured by this would remain in UK custody. This was:
“… less than the US have secured through their Status of Forces Agreement, but
UK forces are not doing the same range of tasks, are far fewer in number and, on
current plans, will complete our key tasks and withdraw the vast majority of troops
by 31 July 2009.”
292.  The accompanying Exchange of Letters constituted an “invitation” from the
Government of Iraq to complete the UK tasks.
293.  The two main remaining risks were that the Iraqi Parliament amended or failed to
pass the law, or that it was not ratified by 1 January 2009. However, Mr Hutton wrote
that:
“… the Iraqi Council of Ministers voted today to agree the legal text and have
passed it to the Council of Representatives … The draft law is expected to have its
first reading on 17 December. There is still a chance therefore, if there are no further
delays, that it will pass its third Reading on 22 December and be ratified by the
Presidency Council no later than 10 days afterwards.”
294.  Mr Brown spoke by telephone to President Bush on 16 December.111 He explained
that the UK had almost agreed the legal arrangements for a continued UK military
presence in Iraq in 2009 and that he was grateful for US support.
295.  At its 17 December meeting, the JIC assessed the performance of the Iraqi
Security Forces.112
296.  The JIC assessed that:
“I. Major security decisions are driven by Prime Minister Maliki … But his
circumvention of over-bureaucratic processes has furthered rather than hampered
the overall improvement in security.”
297.  The JIC judged that the ISF would be “much better placed to manage internal
security in 2009, including during elections, but will be unable wholly to prevent
111 Letter Fletcher to Gould, 16 December 2008, ‘Prime Minister’s call with US President, 16 December’.
112 JIC Assessment, 18 December 2008, ‘Iraqi Security Forces: Mixed Abilities’.
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