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9.7  |  May 2008 to October 2009
had decided to take action in Basra. UK troops had taken on a more active training
and mentoring role, with around 1,000 UK personnel currently embedded in Iraqi units.
Levels of violence had reduced significantly and life in Basra was returning to normal.
The UK was pursuing four key functions:
UK forces had moved from a combat to an overwatch role. UK troops’ primary
role was training and mentoring Iraqi forces, with a last resort intervention
capability, although that was also gradually being taken over by Iraq.
Pursuing economic development, which was showing some evidence of
success, providing Iraqi citizens with work and a stake in their future.
Local government elections, which would give former members of the militia
the opportunity to engage in democratic politics.
Working to transfer Basra Airport from military to civilian control.
150.  Mr Brown said that the Basra Development Commission would produce an
economic plan in the autumn and he hoped that local elections and the handover of
Basra Airport would take place by the end of the year. Training of 14 Division should
also be completed by the end of the year, with additional training of headquarters and
specialist functions required in early 2009. Mr Brown “expected that we would be able
to make substantial reduction in the number of British forces next year, but that would
depend on circumstances. He was not going to make an estimate of the numbers now.”
151.  Finally, Mr Brown told Cabinet that the UK would be working to sign “a new
agreement” with the Iraqi Government, and he would tell the House of Commons that
the UK would be “ready to move to a new relationship in the first half of next year”.
152.  Summing up, Mr Brown concluded that whilst some militia activity in Iraq was
“inevitable”, in general “security had significantly improved”. A new agreement with
the Iraqi Government would require “significant negotiation” and the Armed Forces
would need a legal basis for operations post-December. If the UK had left Iraq a few
months ago, the job would not have been finished; with the improvements in security,
momentum for economic development and a move towards local democracy once the
elections were held, the Iraqi people now felt that they had a stake in the future.
153.  The House of Commons Defence Committee published a report into UK operations
in Iraq on 22 June, before Mr Brown made his statement.55
154.  The report concluded that following the Charge of the Knights, a high degree
of security had been restored to Basra and “the preconditions are in place for political
progress and economic recovery”. However, “the UK Government must ensure that
it continues to provide support to the ISF to ensure that the progress which has been
made is not lost and that Basra does not slip back into instability”.
55 Fifteenth Report from the House of Commons Defence Committee, Session 2007-2008, UK Operations in
Iraq and the Gulf, HC982.
405
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