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9.5  |  June 2006 to 27 June 2007
258.  In the note Mr Blair said that the first basic element of the approach on Iraq would
be a new Iraq compact, ratified by a Security Council resolution, in which:
Iraqis come together to support a non‑sectarian future;
MAS [Muqtada al‑Sadr] dissociates himself from JAM and Maliki agrees to go
after JAM;
there is better Iraqi governance and especially in the disbursement of money;
the Iraqis re‑affirm our presence whilst they need it.”
259.  The second element of the approach would be:
“We make explicit a broader Middle East strategy in which we put Iraq in the context
of a changing, modernising Middle East where everywhere, including Palestine and
Lebanon, we are trying to solve outstanding issues.”
US mid-term elections
In the US mid‑term elections on 7 November, President Bush’s Republican Party lost
control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives to the Democratic Party.151
The new Speaker of the House of Representatives asked President Bush “to work
together to find a solution to the war in Iraq”.
The following day, as widely anticipated, President Bush announced that Secretary
Rumsfeld would be stepping down, and that Mr Robert Gates would replace him as
Defense Secretary.152
260.  Mr Blair discussed Iraq policy with ACM Stirrup, Sir Nigel Sheinwald, Mr Sawers,
SIS2, Mr Jonathan Powell and other No.10 officials on 7 November.153
261.  Mr Blair identified a strategy with four key elements:
“– agreement on a ‘national compact’ which produced a settlement of the
key issues acceptable to all groups in Iraq, and the basis for non‑sectarian
government;
improvement in the functioning of Iraqi institutions, particularly disbursement
capability;
capability gaps in the security forces, the army in particular, had to be identified
and filled; and
regional actors had to be brought in to offer effective support to the Iraqi
government.”
151  BBC News, 9 November 2006, How will the Democrats wield power?
152  eGram 49754/06 Washington to Various, 8 November 2006, ‘Rumsfeld: Changing The Guard’.
153  Letter Banner to Siddiq, 8 November 2006, ‘Iraq’.
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