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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
Origins of the 15 November Agreement
Sir Jeremy Greenstock described to the Inquiry the stalemate the Coalition had faced
on the political process.304 Ambassador Bremer had not wanted elections to take place
without constitutional principles being laid down to govern them; Grand Ayatollah al-
Sistani had not wanted Iraq’s Constitution to be written by or influenced by non-Iraqis.
Sir Jeremy described his suggestion that:
“… when there was a chicken and egg problem, one of the ways to get through it is
to design a double circuit … two chickens, two eggs, it became known as, with some
humour and disbelief on the American side … we designed a process of drawing up
some preliminary constitutional principles through an administrative law leading to a
first round of elections, after which there would be the writing of a proper Constitution
by elected officials, leading to a second round of elections under that Constitution.
“The Americans … thought I was talking rubbish, but the Iraqis immediately
understood what I was talking about, which was the point of my proposing it … And
that was the heart of the 15 November agreement.”
Sir David Richmond told the Inquiry:
“Undoubtedly Jeremy’s influence was very important in the change of direction of
the political process which led to the 15th November agreement. It is a dreadful
phrase [two chickens two eggs], but actually it was a very clever idea and became in
essence the policy that was then followed.”305
Sir David said that Ambassador Bremer’s Seven Step Plan:
“… had really come unstuck. It wasn’t a bad plan at all. It was almost a classic way of
going about these things, but it had come unstuck largely because of the opposition
of Sistani to certain aspects of that plan. Although we were … perhaps slow to realise
that they had hit an insurmountable obstacle and there was a lot of time lost, certainly
by the middle or end of October there was a realisation that we were going to have to
come up with a plan B …”
“A plan was being developed and Bremer went back to Washington around about
13th or 12th November … He came back with what became the 15th November
agreement. There were certain aspects of it which we were expecting, including the
idea that there might be some interim Constitution … We were certainly expecting an
end date, although I think we were expecting one a little later than 30th June, but I
think we – certainly I was expecting that there would be elections before we handed
over. We would handover to an elected interim government. It was a surprise and
shock to me to discover when Bremer came back from Washington that this was not
the case. Now I don’t know – this decision had clearly been taken in Washington by
the people in Washington. It was not what the CPA had been expecting. I don’t know
to what extent the British Government was involved in that decision to do things in a
different way. I imagine they were, but I don’t know.”306
304  Public hearing, 15 December 2009, pages 76-78; Private hearing, 26 May 2010, page 57.
305  Public hearing, 26 January 2011, page 23.
306  Public hearing, 26 January 2011, page 66.
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