The Report
of the Iraq Inquiry
Sir Jeremy
Greenstock described to the Inquiry the stalemate the Coalition had
faced
on the
political process.304
Ambassador
Bremer had not wanted elections to take place
without
constitutional principles being laid down to govern them; Grand
Ayatollah al-
Sistani had
not wanted Iraq’s Constitution to be written by or influenced by
non-Iraqis.
Sir Jeremy
described his suggestion that:
“… when
there was a chicken and egg problem, one of the ways to get through
it is
to design a
double circuit … two chickens, two eggs, it became known as, with
some
humour and
disbelief on the American side … we designed a process of drawing
up
some
preliminary constitutional principles through an administrative law
leading to a
first round
of elections, after which there would be the writing of a proper
Constitution
by elected
officials, leading to a second round of elections under that
Constitution.
“The
Americans … thought I was talking rubbish, but the Iraqis
immediately
understood
what I was talking about, which was the point of my proposing it …
And
that was
the heart of the 15 November agreement.”
Sir David
Richmond told the Inquiry:
“Undoubtedly
Jeremy’s influence was very important in the change of direction
of
the
political process which led to the 15th November agreement. It is a
dreadful
phrase [two
chickens two eggs], but actually it was a very clever idea and
became in
essence the
policy that was then followed.”305
Sir David
said that Ambassador Bremer’s Seven Step Plan:
“… had
really come unstuck. It wasn’t a bad plan at all. It was almost a
classic way of
going about
these things, but it had come unstuck largely because of the
opposition
of Sistani
to certain aspects of that plan. Although we were … perhaps slow to
realise
that they
had hit an insurmountable obstacle and there was a lot of time
lost, certainly
by the
middle or end of October there was a realisation that we were going
to have to
come up
with a plan B …”
“A plan was
being developed and Bremer went back to Washington around
about
13th or
12th November … He came back with what became the 15th
November
agreement.
There were certain aspects of it which we were expecting, including
the
idea that
there might be some interim Constitution … We were certainly
expecting an
end date,
although I think we were expecting one a little later than 30th
June, but I
think we –
certainly I was expecting that there would be elections before we
handed
over. We
would handover to an elected interim government. It was a surprise
and
shock to me
to discover when Bremer came back from Washington that this was
not
the case.
Now I don’t know – this decision had clearly been taken in
Washington by
the people
in Washington. It was not what the CPA had been expecting. I don’t
know
to what
extent the British Government was involved in that decision to do
things in a
different
way. I imagine they were, but I don’t know.”306
304
Public
hearing, 15 December 2009, pages 76-78; Private hearing, 26 May
2010, page 57.
305
Public
hearing, 26 January 2011, page 23.
306
Public
hearing, 26 January 2011, page 66.
296