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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry
434.  Sir Nigel Sheinwald told the Inquiry that:
“… by and large, the American political assessment of what was going on in Iraq
was more positive than our own. In conversations with Bush and in conversations
with other people … by and large the impression was not that things were going
well, but they didn’t have the same sense of foreboding and concern which was
evident in London from the summer of 2003.”253
435.  On 7 October, PJHQ reported a “major public order disturbance” in Basra,
at the site where former Iraqi army conscripts were paid their stipend.254 It was
thought to be the result of rumours that there was not enough money to pay all those
who were eligible.
436.  The protesters burned the records required to make the payments. PJHQ reported
that “Iraqi police were present but were unable to control the incident and dispersed”.
437.  During the incident, UK troops shot dead an Iraqi man. He was thought at the time
to be a protestor, but later identified as an armed security officer in plain clothes.255
438.  On 8 October, a final version of the UK Iraq Strategy was issued to members of the
AHMGIR by Cabinet Office after “those Private Offices who responded indicated their
Ministers’ endorsement”.256
439.  Sir Nigel Sheinwald annotated his copy: “I don’t see a need for PM to see this.”
440.  The Strategy acknowledged the CPA Strategy published in July 2003 and stated
that this was a longer-term UK Strategy for Iraq that was broadly consistent with it, but
which set the framework for specific UK activities towards a common objective.
441.  The Strategy identified the UK objective as:
“Iraq to become a stable, united and law-abiding state, within its present borders,
co-operating with the international community, no longer posing a threat to its
neighbours or to international security, abiding by all its international obligations and
providing effective representative government, sustainable economic growth and
rising living standards to all its people.”
442.  The Strategy defined a Stabilisation Phase up to December 2003, for which
the objective was that Iraq should be restored to pre-conflict levels of development
and order.
443.  During 2004 there would be a Recovery Phase, during which the CPA would pass
all its powers to a sovereign, representative Iraqi Government.
253  Private hearing, 3 September 2010, page 15.
254  Minute PJHQ-J9-POLOPS8 to PS/Secretary of State [MOD], 7 October 2003, ‘Op.TELIC: Unrest in
Basrah and Death of Iraqi National’.
255  Telegram 33 Basra to FCO London, 9 October 2003, ‘South Iraq: The Political Scene’.
256  Minute Dodd to Sheinwald, 8 October 2003, ‘UK Iraq Strategy’.
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