10.2 |
Reconstruction: July 2004 to July 2009
848.
DFID also told
the Inquiry that it decided not to revise the I-CAP because
of:
•
the
consistency in DFID “strategic priorities” and funding between
2005
and 2007;
•
the high
turnover of Heads of DFID Baghdad; and
•
from 2007,
DFID’s move away from producing published CAPs (under
Mr Douglas
Alexander).
849.
A Cabinet
Office official advised Mr Brown on 12 October that Governor
Waili’s
appeal
against his dismissal from post had been
successful.496
The UK
planned to
“resume
low-key co-operation with him in the interests of moving beyond the
political
stand-off
in Basra” while the Iraqi Government took other steps towards his
dismissal.
The
security situation in Basra remained “relatively
calm”.
850.
Major General
Graham Binns, GOC MND(SE), reported on 18 October that
Gen
Petraeus had agreed Lt Gen Odierno’s recommendation of PIC for
Basra in
851.
In a message
to the FCO in London on 23 October, Mr Christopher
Prentice,
British
Ambassador to Iraq, set out some of the implications of
Mr Brown’s 8 October
852.
Mr Prentice
argued that given the UK’s strategic interests and the scale and
cost
of its
commitment to Iraq so far, “we [the UK] need to accept now that we
are in this for
some years
to come”.
853.
The UK would
be judged by the progress Basra made following PIC. By the
end
of 2008,
key Basra economic initiatives would only just have started and
would need
continuing
UK support. There was also a case for the UK “planning a last high
profile
project as
visible proof for Basrawis of our continuing support and as a
lasting UK
legacy”.
854.
Mr Prentice
reported that the UK was already increasing its emphasis on
the
“civilian
development agenda”. In the longer term, DFID “understandably wish
to
normalise
its role in a wealthy oil-producing country i.e. close its
programme”. It
would be
right to do so – but only when the “whole Iraq project” was on
track. Unless
the UK was
“surprised by success”, 2009 was likely to be too early to begin to
close
the programme.
855.
The conditions
might be favourable by 2009 to re-establish a UK Trade
and
Industry
presence in Basra “to pursue the huge commercial opportunities
there will
eventually
be there”.
496
Minute
Cabinet Office [junior official] to Prime Minister, 12 October
2007, ‘Iraq – Weekly Update’.
497
Report
Binns, 18 October 2007, ‘GOC HQ MND(SE) – southern Iraq Update – 18
October 2007’.
498
eGram
43230/07 Baghdad to FCO London, 23 October 2007, ‘Iraq 2009 and
Beyond – Unfinished
Business’.
333