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6.5  |  Planning and preparation for a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq, January to March 2003
consider, or seek advice on whether the absence of a satisfactory plan was
a sufficient threat to UK strategic objectives to require a reassessment of
the terms of the UK engagement in Iraq. Despite concerns about the state
of US planning, he did not make agreement on a satisfactory post-conflict
plan a condition of UK participation in military action.
1474.  In the weeks immediately following the invasion, Mr Blair’s omissions
made it more difficult for the UK Government to take an informed decision on the
establishment of the UK’s post-conflict Area of Responsibility (AOR) in southern
Iraq (addressed in more detail in Section 8).
1475.  In the short to medium term, his omissions increased the risk that the UK
would be unable to respond to the unexpected in Iraq.
1476.  In the longer term, they reduced the likelihood of achieving the UK’s
strategic objectives in Iraq.
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