Executive
Summary
248.
When
Mr Blair and President Bush discussed the position late on 11
March, it was
clear that
President Bush was determined not to postpone the start of military
action.112
They
discussed the impact of President Chirac’s “veto threats”.
Mr Blair considered that
President
Chirac’s remarks “gave some cover” for ending the UN
route.
249.
Reporting
discussions in New York on 11 March on the draft resolution and
details
of a
possible “side statement”, Sir Jeremy Greenstock advised that
the draft resolution
tabled by
the UK, US and Spain on 7 March had “no chance ... of
adoption”.113
250.
In a telephone
call with President Bush on 12 March, Mr Blair proposed that
the
US and UK
should continue to seek a compromise in the UN, while confirming
that he
knew it
would not happen. He would say publicly that the French had
prevented them
from
securing a resolution, so there would not be one.114
251.
Mr Blair
wanted to avoid a gap between the end of the negotiating process
and
the Parliamentary
vote in which France or another member of the Security Council
might
table a
resolution that attracted the support of a majority of the Council.
That could have
undermined
the UK (and US) position on its legal basis for
action.
252.
When he
discussed the options with Mr Straw early on 12 March,
Mr Blair decided
that the UK
would continue to support the US.115
253.
During Prime
Minister’s Questions on 12 March, Mr Blair
stated:
“I hope
that even now those countries that are saying they would use their
veto no
matter what
the circumstances will reconsider and realise that by doing so they
put
at risk not
just the disarmament of Saddam, but the unity of the United
Nations.”116
254.
The FCO
assessed on 12 March that the votes of the three African states
were
reasonably
secure but Pakistan’s vote was not so certain. It was hoped that
the six tests
plus a
short extension of the 17 March deadline might deliver Mexico and
Chile.117
255.
The UK
circulated its draft side statement setting out the six tests to a
meeting
of Security
Council members in New York on the evening of 12
March.118
256.
Sir Jeremy
Greenstock told Council members that the UK “non‑paper”
responded
to an
approach from the “undecided six”119
looking for
a way forward, setting out six
112
Letter
Cannon to McDonald, 11 March 2003, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s
Conversations with Bush
and Lagos,
11 March’.
113
Telegram
417 UKMIS New York to FCO London, 12 March 2003, ‘Personal Iraq:
Side Statement
and End
Game Options’.
114
Letter
Rycroft to McDonald, 12 March 2003, ‘Iraq: Prime Minister’s
Telephone Conversation
with President
Bush, 12 March’.
115
Public
hearing, 21 January 2010, page 105.
116
House of
Commons, Official
Report, 12 March
2003, column 288.
117
Telegram 33
FCO London to Riyadh, 12 March 2003, ‘Personal for Heads of
Mission: Iraq:
The Endgame’.
118
Telegram
429 UKMIS New York to FCO London, 13 March 2003, ‘Iraq: UK
Side‑Statement’.
119
Angola,
Cameroon, Chile, Guinea, Mexico, Pakistan.
35