6.4 |
Planning and preparation for a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq, mid-2001
to January 2003
•
Regional
players and structures such as the EU and OIC [Organization of
the
Islamic
Conference].332
NATO?”
674.
Previous
interim administrations had cost up to US$500 million per year,
with civil
components
of between 200 and 5,000 personnel, and military components
between
40 and
15,000. Civilian police, where necessary, had numbered from 1,000
to 4,000.
Iraq was
comparable in size and population to Afghanistan, but much more
developed:
“… the
scale of intervention in its affairs will be much greater and more
intrusive.
Costs and
numbers of personnel are likely therefore to be much greater
than
previous
missions. Who paid would be a key question.”
“Administering
Iraq and guiding it back to a sustainable place in the world
community
will be a
major task. A UN transitional administration could do it, in
parallel with an
International
Force to provide security and cover for the eradication of WMD.
A
model that
could work would [be] an extensive Interim Authority, divided into
pillars
under the
control of a variety of international players. The pace of eventual
handover
to Iraqi
control could be different for each pillar … But to be successful,
planning
needs to
start as soon as possible.”
676.
The Inquiry
has not seen a final version of the FCO paper, but material from
the
17 October
draft was used in the 1 November Cabinet Office paper on models for
Iraq
after
Saddam Hussein.
677.
In October,
No.10 instructed the Attorney General’s Office and the
Cabinet
Office to
take account of the potential need to bring Saddam Hussein and
his
inner
circle to justice as part of Whitehall work on the future of
Iraq.
678.
The creation
of an international body to try senior members of Saddam
Hussein’s
regime for
war crimes was the founding purpose of INDICT, an NGO chaired
by
Ms Ann
Clwyd, Vice-Chair of the Parliamentary Labour Party
(PLP).
679.
Ms Clwyd
raised the possibility of using INDICT “as an alternative to war”
at a
meeting of
the Parliamentary Committee (the executive body of the PLP) in July
2002.333
Mr Blair is
reported to have replied: “Why don’t we do it?”
680.
In his
diaries, Mr Mullin recorded that Ms Clwyd told Mr Blair at the
meeting of the
PLP on 17
July: “We can indict the Iraqis now.”334
That had
“seemed to come as news”
332
Known since
2011 as the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation.
333
Statement
Clwyd, January 2010, ‘The Work of INDICT’, page 24.
334
Mullin
C. A View from
the Foothills: The Diaries of Chris Mullin.
Profile Books, 2009.
227